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Forums - Sales Discussion - All Nintendo First Party 10 Million Sellers (as of June 30, 2024) (+Poll) UPDATED WITH LISTS BY RELEASE YEAR & CONSOLE

 

How many First Party Nintendo Games will exceed 10 million at the end of Switch's Life?

<55 15 26.79%
 
55 0 0%
 
56 1 1.79%
 
57 1 1.79%
 
58 3 5.36%
 
59 2 3.57%
 
60 6 10.71%
 
61 3 5.36%
 
62 4 7.14%
 
>62 21 37.50%
 
Total:56
Torpoleon on 12 May 2024

Now updated through March 31, 2024!

No new additions, but everything is chugging along. MK8 DX has now surpassed lifetime sales of the NES! There were some small updates to 3DS games in the past 6 months, with MK7 almost at 19 million. TOTK still hasn't surpassed Super Mario Party, but should soon. Not good legs, but it has still sold over 20m in under a year.

The race for 20m with NSMBU DX & Wonder continues, as does the race between SWSH & SV! Probably no new additions for a while (at the latest would be Z-A's release, depending on what else releases this year).



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Torpoleon on 03 August 2024

Updated through June 30, 2024!  Not a lot of movement this time around. Odyssey did surpass Wii Play though and will surpass Duck Hunt in the next update. We will hopefully get an update on Wonder in the next report. MK8 DX is exactly 20m behind Wii Sports.

Jamboree will probably join the 10m club eventually after it launches. Definitely not in its launch quarter, but maybe sometime next year or even in 2026. Could have potentially 25 Switch games exceed 10m.



Wman1996 on 03 August 2024

I still can't believe we don't know if Super Mario Maker 2 hit 10 million. I'm going to imagine it hasn't if Nintendo hasn't bothered to update yet since December 2022 of about 8.42 million.
Before launch, I would've said 10 million was a lock, with 15 million as likely. If it reaches 10 million, probably just barely. I understand a lot of people don't want to create levels (I have little interest or skill to do so) but playing Nintendo's levels and other people's levels is pretty fun.



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 48 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Torpoleon on 03 August 2024

@Wman1996 It's up to CESA at this point to update Mario Maker 2 numbers, and apparently there is a delay with the latest report, so we might not know end of 2023 and later numbers for a while, if at all.

Mario Maker 2 has definitely underperformed because I would've expected it to be long past 10m by end of 2022 anyways. I agree that people would much rather play official levels than make their own. Doesn't help that it launched just 6 months after NSMBU DX, and the final update was less than a year after launch.

I feel like for the Switch 2, they should release a new 2D Mario around 2027 and then make Mario Maker 3 essentially a paid DLC add on for that game a couple of years later.