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Forums - Sales Discussion - COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart

I was kinda hoping the Splatfest would lead to a +100 points day.
But this performance is more than good enough.



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Hello everyone,

I made a little web app that enables to estimate the first week Famitsu sales base on COMG orders (not yet pre-orders, but it will come)

If you are interested, check: https://chartsjapan.shinyapps.io/COMG_to_FAMITSU_predictor/

For example, here are the prediction for the releases of this week :

Title Hardware Publisher Release_Date COMG_Sales Famitsu_FW_Pred
Earth Defense Force 6 PS4 D3 Publisher 2022-08-25 96 63638
SD Gundam: Battle Alliance NSW Bandai Namco 2022-08-25 60 51006
SD Gundam: Battle Alliance PS4 Bandai Namco 2022-08-25 24 15910


The statistical model is based on a database that gathers every NSW, PS4 and PS5 games that sold more than 50k first week according to famitsu and the corresponding COMG! info (orders and pre-orders) since 2017. Of course, it is just predictions, so do not expect it to be 100% accurate, but I hope it is not to bad either. And I will try to improve it.

Tell me what you think about it,
Hope it helps!












3 day streak for VE happening with 1 month left. Good way to start the final stretch.



ssk said:

Hello everyone,

I made a little web app that enables to estimate the first week Famitsu sales base on COMG orders (not yet pre-orders, but it will come)

If you are interested, check: https://chartsjapan.shinyapps.io/COMG_to_FAMITSU_predictor/

For example, here are the prediction for the releases of this week :

Title Hardware Publisher Release_Date COMG_Sales Famitsu_FW_Pred
Earth Defense Force 6 PS4 D3 Publisher 2022-08-25 96 63638
SD Gundam: Battle Alliance NSW Bandai Namco 2022-08-25 60 51006
SD Gundam: Battle Alliance PS4 Bandai Namco 2022-08-25 24 15910


The statistical model is based on a database that gathers every NSW, PS4 and PS5 games that sold more than 50k first week according to famitsu and the corresponding COMG! info (orders and pre-orders) since 2017. Of course, it is just predictions, so do not expect it to be 100% accurate, but I hope it is not to bad either. And I will try to improve it.

Tell me what you think about it,
Hope it helps!

That's really interesting. Let's see how close it is.



Remember when we thought Pokemon could pass Splatoon before it releases? Little did we know....



Switch: SW-3707-5131-3911
XBox: Kenjabish

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Splatoon responded
"Heard y'all talking ****"



kenjab said:

Remember when we thought Pokemon could pass Splatoon before it releases?

Splatoon: Hold my ink



What are the top sales for pre orders for all nsw games? Including splat2



The steak ends at 4, but it was good first run. Can it go for another run? Time will tell.



theDX said:
Days leftSplatoon 3Pokemon Legends: ArceusMonster Hunter RiseAnimal Crossing: New HorizonsSuper Smash Bros. UltimateSplatoon 2
10586436938 (778+80)550704836
9603445961 (803+79)569720840
8456980 (822+79)590737847
7467999 (841+79)612752853
64861,022 (864+79)650783870
55891,068 (910+79)708818890
46251,094 (934+80)731838910
36411,114 (954+80)755870920
26471,152 (992+80)785906933
16621,193 (1,033+80)805935941

MHR numbers in parentheses are the standard SKU + the double pack (counts as 2).

Nice work!

I am excited to see where Splatoon 3 ends up.