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Forums - Politics - Official 2020 US Presidential Election Thread

Cerebralbore101 on 03 November 2020

Damn Iowa is getting close. Biden leads by 22,000 votes with 69% counted.



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Cerebralbore101 on 03 November 2020
shikamaru317 said:
Cerebralbore101 said:
Damn Iowa is getting close. Biden leads by 22,000 votes with 69% counted.

Trump now has the lead with 73% counted. I think he will take Iowa personally, but still way too close to call.

Agreed. The rural counties here are always late to report in. Trumps lead should grow in IA. It being this close here though gives me hope for Penn though. We were expected to lean Trump a bit.



Cerebralbore101 on 03 November 2020
shikamaru317 said:

Arizona and New Mexico have been called for Biden.

Source?



Cerebralbore101 on 03 November 2020
shikamaru317 said:
Cerebralbore101 said:

Source?

Fox News called them. Not sure about the other big news sites. 

Damn. Fox is terrible news, but they are insanely good at calling states. :D Their polling is really great too!



jason1637 on 03 November 2020
Cerebralbore101 said:
jason1637 said:


PA is gonna come down to the tee.

2 Million times 66% is 1,320,000. If Trump gets all Republican votes + all non-registered votes then he gets 33% which is 660,000. Current count is 1,736,000 Trump vs 1,328,000 Biden. Add the 1.3 mill to Biden's total and he gets 2.6 Mill votes. Add all independents and republicans to Trump's current total and he gets 2.4 mil. I think Biden is very likely to get PA at this point. 

Gotta remember that Trump won in 2016 by getting democrats that voted for Obama to vote for him so its not that black and white.



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Cerebralbore101 on 03 November 2020
jason1637 said:
Cerebralbore101 said:

2 Million times 66% is 1,320,000. If Trump gets all Republican votes + all non-registered votes then he gets 33% which is 660,000. Current count is 1,736,000 Trump vs 1,328,000 Biden. Add the 1.3 mill to Biden's total and he gets 2.6 Mill votes. Add all independents and republicans to Trump's current total and he gets 2.4 mil. I think Biden is very likely to get PA at this point. 

Gotta remember that Trump won in 2016 by getting democrats that voted for Obama to vote for him so its not that black and white.

He got Democrats that voted for Obama to vote against Hillary. Biden isn't stupidly unpopular like Hillary is. Lots of us Dems hate Hillary with a passion.



jason1637 on 03 November 2020

Trump is down by 1.6m in the popular vote rn.



Cerebralbore101 on 03 November 2020
shikamaru317 said:

^Yeah, Biden and Kamala's statements on fracking could hurt them in Pennsylvania I think, Trump could still take it, but it'll be tough.

Agreed. Like I said before Biden is very likely to get Penn. Something like 70% odds. But Trump could still take it.



Cerebralbore101 on 03 November 2020

Yeah Trump has Iowa in the bag. The three major Dem counties are all 100% reporting in. A ton of rural counties have yet to even report 1% of their vote. Once all the votes come in Trump will handily take IA.



drkohler on 03 November 2020
jason1637 said:
Cerebralbore101 said:

2 Million times 66% is 1,320,000.

Gotta remember that Trump won in 2016 by getting democrats that voted for Obama to vote for him so its not that black and white.

CNN reports 1M not counted yet?

Doesn't really matter, though.

In a few hours, the Supreme Court will issue a decree that stops all counting as a decision has to be reached at election day so counting after election day is unconstitutional and declare Trump president.

The verdict will be by 6:3 votes,by the way.

On a more serious note, I wrote months ago that Biden simply isn't the person who could beat a Trump, so I'm not surprised.

What I am surprised though is that the Senate likely stays Republican.