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Forums - Sales Discussion - When will the switch outsell the ps4?

 

When will the switch outsell the ps4?

Second half of 2022 33 11.54%
 
First half of 2023 24 8.39%
 
Second half of 2023 35 12.24%
 
First half of 2024 15 5.24%
 
Second half of 2024 16 5.59%
 
First half of 2025 7 2.45%
 
Second half of 2025 5 1.75%
 
Later than above 2 0.70%
 
Never 149 52.10%
 
Total:286
Nu-13 on 11 January 2020
Leynos said:
If you consider Switch to be a console then it will end up as the 3rd best selling console ever. Behind PS4 and PS2.
If you consider it a handheld first and accept the 118 million Game Boy sales as a whole then again Switch will likely be the 3rd best selling ever. Behind DS and Game Boy.

What is PS4 at 106 million? I think Switch's max potential is 103 million.

Do you mind sharing how much you think the switch will sell each year from now?



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nier1993 on 11 January 2020

Ps4 was 199$ for like 2 days during the holidays before being sold out. Switch is 199$ since September.



Amnesia on 11 January 2020

70% including me, believe that the Switch won't win this fight...I hope the guy who created this thread will remember it in 4 years when we will all be wrong :D



Leynos on 11 January 2020
Nu-13 said:
Leynos said:
If you consider Switch to be a console then it will end up as the 3rd best selling console ever. Behind PS4 and PS2.
If you consider it a handheld first and accept the 118 million Game Boy sales as a whole then again Switch will likely be the 3rd best selling ever. Behind DS and Game Boy.

What is PS4 at 106 million? I think Switch's max potential is 103 million.

Do you mind sharing how much you think the switch will sell each year from now?

I could if I was this guy



Bite my shiny metal cockpit!

Ryng on 11 January 2020

I think Switch will sell +120 million LT, PS4 will sell +125 million.



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LGBTDBZBBQ on 11 January 2020
nier1993 said:

Ps4 was 199$ for like 2 days during the holidays before being sold out. Switch is 199$ since September.

At Amazon only because of limited stock allocation. In last few years PS4 bf bundled in the US it was sold at $199+Spiderman and $199+TLOU+HZD+GOW.

In Europe and Japan it last for a couple of weeks with $199 and 2 free games. I. In a few asean countries you could get PS4 + 3 free games like GOW+GTA5+HZD+3 months of PS+ at $245 price points for a whole month.

Last edited by LGBTDBZBBQ - on 11 January 2020

Jumpin on 11 January 2020
Amnesia said:
Nu-13 said:

That's easy since it will be the only 9th gen console. But you're free to compare it's sales with the 10th gen systems.

Could you just remind me what are gen 8-9 and 10 for you guys ?

PS4 is Sony’s fourth generation console, while Switch is Nintendo’s seventh generation console.



On the main topic:

As for how quickly it passes PS4. It depends on Nintendo who have a history of artificially lowering demand of earlier products to make way for newer ones. If Nintendo does a smart device style Switch generation 2 model + new form factors - kind of like what they talked about in 2013-2015 and what is capable with the current architecture, but updates rather than replaces the platform, I can see Switch being the highest selling dedicated video game console in history.

With the 3DS, it seemed like Nintendo was experimenting with longevity support (while not fully committing to it since 3DS was a dead-end product), so I can see them doing this. Continuing to support the existing Switch for years to come while putting higher end versions of software on updated tiers. Then dropping mandatory support for earlier models in 2023 or later.

think 2020 will be the key year where we learn how to best answer this question.

Last edited by Jumpin - on 11 January 2020

I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

NathanSSSS on 11 January 2020

When Switch pro pro pro pro comes out



MasonADC on 11 January 2020
nier1993 said:

Ps4 was 199$ for like 2 days during the holidays before being sold out. Switch is 199$ since September.

When the hybrid switch gets to $199, it will have a much larger impact than the lite had I believe



MasonADC on 11 January 2020

I’m not good with predictions, so it is easier to just say never