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Forums - Sales Discussion - When will the switch outsell the ps4?

 

When will the switch outsell the ps4?

Second half of 2022 33 11.54%
 
First half of 2023 24 8.39%
 
Second half of 2023 35 12.24%
 
First half of 2024 15 5.24%
 
Second half of 2024 16 5.59%
 
First half of 2025 7 2.45%
 
Second half of 2025 5 1.75%
 
Later than above 2 0.70%
 
Never 149 52.10%
 
Total:286
AJNShelton on 11 January 2020

By the end of 2025.

But it won't be really fair, I think Nintendo will release at least 5 models of the Switch, which can go like:
- Switch
- Switch Lite
- Switch XL (a bezel-less 7" or 8" screen)
- Switch Lite Pro
- Switch Pro



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Nu-13 on 11 January 2020
SKMBlake said:
By the end of 2025.

But it won't be really fair, I think Nintendo will release at least 5 models of the Switch, which can go like:
- Switch
- Switch Lite
- Switch XL (a bezel-less 7" or 8" screen)
- Switch Lite Pro
- Switch Pro

You have a wrong definition of fairness.



Amnesia on 11 January 2020
Nu-13 said:
Amnesia said:

Could you just remind me what are gen 8-9 and 10 for you guys ?

8th gen: 3ds, vita, wii u, ps4, x1

9th gen: switch

10th gen: ps5, xsx, switch 2

Absurd....Ok as you wish, last time I started discussing this I ended banished for 3 days.



Louie_86 on 11 January 2020

Probably next month



zorg1000 on 11 January 2020

I dont think it will

PS4-~125m
NSW-~115m



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xl-klaudkil on 11 January 2020

I remembered people thought the wii could beat the ps2 because of its monster sales.

Lets just wait and see if the switch can keep selling as high as its doing now for another 3 years.



 

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sethnintendo on 11 January 2020

2022



Oneeee-Chan!!! on 11 January 2020

Lol, I don't think this is a bait thread.



Nu-13 on 11 January 2020
xl-klaudkil said:
I remembered people thought the wii could beat the ps2 because of its monster sales.

Lets just wait and see if the switch can keep selling as high as its doing now for another 3 years.

Well if you sum 2020 + 2021 + 2022 sales, it will probably average similarly to 2019. Though I expect higher numbers in 2020 and lower in 2022.



peachbuggy on 11 January 2020

2025/6 if at all. Ps4 isn't going to magically stop selling and i'm going to assume it has at least good legs. If the legs are somewhere in between ps2/3 legs then we are still looking at possibly 135m LT sales. The Switch either needs to have a much higher peak than the Ps4 or outleg it, (not sure if that's likely) or some combination of both. If I had to put my house on it, i'd say the Switch will just fall short of outlegging it and max out at 127m-ish. Both will have done extremely well though and of course there are plenty of other variables which could affect this prediction.



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