Shadow1980 said:
tsogud said:
I've already stated I'm voting down ballot Dem in another post as I like my current representatives.
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That's good.
You never answered my question as to whether you live in a swing state, though.
And since you brought them up, let me talk about the GOP and their base for a bit and then I'll be out of your hair.
First off, there's nothing progressives can do about how Republicans vote (well, except try to beat them in elections). How they vote is not our responsibility. It's nigh-impossible for a progressive to ever dissuade a conservative from voting Republican. We can only control how we vote. And for what it's worth, a majority of Republican primary voters did not vote for Trump, and most Republican politicians and pundits endorsed other candidates during the primaries. The only reason they weren't able to force a brokered convention at the RNC was because of the GOP's inconsistent mish-mash of delegate allocation rules (some states are proportional, some are winner-take-all, and some are hybrids of the two), which allowed Trump to gain a majority of delegates despite not having a majority of the popular vote.
But once the primaries were over and the issue of who was going to be the Republican nominee was settled, Republicans rallied around their new leader, the "Never Trump-ers" put on their MAGA caps, and the base was all-in on him. Yes, they too are accountable for Trump being in office. The thing is, that was their intent! They wanted Trump to win. If you tell them "You're responsible for Trump," they'll tell you "And proud of it!" Even if they didn't support him in the primaries, even if they didn't particularly like him, they still cast their vote for him, because they hated Hillary infinitely more and wanted to defeat her. Exit polls consistently show that in every election self-identified conservatives vote third-party at a much lower rate than self-identified liberals do. Their greater tendency to unify and be on the same page on Election Day gives them an advantage, and was enough to be a factor in Trump's victory (it also helps that the GOP base as a whole is more conservative than the Democratic base is progressive). And I know this not just from the data, but from first-hand experience as well. I know a lot of conservatives. They may complain about "RINOs" and even attempt to subject them to primary challenges, but come Election Day they all vote Republican regardless of who the nominee is. They will never operate under the assumption that a Republican that holds a couple of heterodox views on certain issues is "Democrat Lite" and therefore not worth voting for. To them, the difference between the Democrats and Republicans is night and day.
We can talk about which groups did what all day. There's a lot of complexities, and I've tried to make it clear that progressive obstinacy, though a major factor in Republican electoral success, is not the only factor at play. But it's a simple fact of the matter that conservatives are far less willing to vote third-party than progressives are (third-party voters also skew a lot younger and whiter than average). Conservatives are going to far more consistently support a Republican president. According to Gallup, ever since he was inaugurated Trump has enjoyed consistently strong approval ratings among Republicans, even better than Bush did during his second term, and better than Obama's approval rating among Democrats. The reason his overall approval is still in the shitter (something that does give me some hope for this November) is because he is hated by Democrats as much as he is loved by Republicans, and because a fairly large majority of independents don't like him, either. Presidential approval ratings have never been this polarized. And poor approval ratings in the past have not been good signs for sitting Presidents. Every President that had net negative approval ratings ahead of Election Day has lost. If that holds true for Trump, it won't be because his base abandoned him. They are in this for the long haul. Come hell or high water, Trump is their guy, and they are behind him 100%.
That's how conservatives see this issue. They're in it to win it, no matter what. And that's what progressives are up against at the polls. What you do with that information is up to you.
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