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Forums - Sales Discussion - February NPD 2019 thread

thismeintiel on 09 March 2019
zorg1000 said:
thismeintiel said:

XBO had deals last month, too, yet the PS4 beat it almost 2:1. I just don't see the XBO beating PS4 til maybe Dec.

If I recall the January deals were mostly near the end of the month while the February deals were pretty much the entire month. I could be wrong though.

PS4 should definitely outsell XBO regardless but it will be much closer than January.

That could be the case.  I could have sworn it was longer, but I may be wrong.  Either way, going by Amazon rankings, PS4 is still going to have a good lead over the XBO.  PS4 has 4 consoles in the Monthly 100, at #42, #45, #77, and #99.  XBO only has two and those are very low.  #87 and #89.  It may not be 2:1, mainly because of the larger numbers, but I can still see it being the same ~90K that it outsold it by in Jan.

Bofferbrauer2 said:
thismeintiel said:

XBO had deals last month, too, yet the PS4 beat it almost 2:1. I just don't see the XBO beating PS4 til maybe Dec.

This only affected the very last week of January and the XBO was dead the 3 weeks before because of the discounts during the holiday season. It also showed this on the NPD prediction thread and that it had 0 chances to keep up with Switch and PS4 in January.

XBO was on sale in some form or another throughout February, and in front of the PS4 for half of it in the prediction thread, ending up slightly in front.

PS4 can end up beating the XBO, but it will be not by much if it does (the advantage in the prediction thread is pretty slim, close to a tossup in elections).

See above.



 

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zorg1000 on 10 March 2019
thismeintiel said:
zorg1000 said:

If I recall the January deals were mostly near the end of the month while the February deals were pretty much the entire month. I could be wrong though.

PS4 should definitely outsell XBO regardless but it will be much closer than January.

That could be the case.  I could have sworn it was longer, but I may be wrong.  Either way, going by Amazon rankings, PS4 is still going to have a good lead over the XBO.  PS4 has 4 consoles in the Monthly 100, at #42, #45, #77, and #99.  XBO only has two and those are very low.  #87 and #89.  It may not be 2:1, mainly because of the larger numbers, but I can still see it being the same ~90K that it outsold it by in Jan.

Ya I agree completely. Similar size gap in units but percentage wise much closer than last month.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Bofferbrauer2 on 10 March 2019
thismeintiel said:
zorg1000 said:

If I recall the January deals were mostly near the end of the month while the February deals were pretty much the entire month. I could be wrong though.

PS4 should definitely outsell XBO regardless but it will be much closer than January.

That could be the case.  I could have sworn it was longer, but I may be wrong.  Either way, going by Amazon rankings, PS4 is still going to have a good lead over the XBO.  PS4 has 4 consoles in the Monthly 100, at #42, #45, #77, and #99.  XBO only has two and those are very low.  #87 and #89.  It may not be 2:1, mainly because of the larger numbers, but I can still see it being the same ~90K that it outsold it by in Jan.

Bofferbrauer2 said:

This only affected the very last week of January and the XBO was dead the 3 weeks before because of the discounts during the holiday season. It also showed this on the NPD prediction thread and that it had 0 chances to keep up with Switch and PS4 in January.

XBO was on sale in some form or another throughout February, and in front of the PS4 for half of it in the prediction thread, ending up slightly in front.

PS4 can end up beating the XBO, but it will be not by much if it does (the advantage in the prediction thread is pretty slim, close to a tossup in elections).

See above.

Only going by Amazon, PS4 would beat the XBO handily. Only going by Gamestop, and XBO would win, no contest. Both are much closer this month to each other than you'd think.

Like I said, it's not guaranteed that the XBO would outsell the PS4, but their numbers should be pretty close to each other at the very least.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Acevil on 10 March 2019

Switch 310,000
PS4 210,000
XboxOne 175,00



 

Keybladewielder on 10 March 2019

Switch - 350k
PS4 - 240k
Xbone - 180k

Last edited by Keybladewielder - on 10 March 2019

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Amnesia on 10 March 2019

Why almost everyone are giving an estimation significantly higher than January for the Switch ? There are only 28 days but is this just because of the 35$ offer ?



Nuvendil on 10 March 2019
Amnesia said:
Why almost everyone are giving an estimation significantly higher than January for the Switch ? There are only 28 days but is this just because of the 35$ offer ?

NPD tracks by weeks not days.  Just so you know.



Amnesia on 10 March 2019
Nuvendil said:
Amnesia said:
Why almost everyone are giving an estimation significantly higher than January for the Switch ? There are only 28 days but is this just because of the 35$ offer ?

NPD tracks by weeks not days.  Just so you know.

Ok then it is 4 weeks for both January and February. But I still don't see why in average, people estimate +10-15% for Feb compared to Jan.



Bofferbrauer2 on 10 March 2019
Amnesia said:
Nuvendil said:

NPD tracks by weeks not days.  Just so you know.

Ok then it is 4 weeks for both January and February. But I still don't see why in average, people estimate +10-15% for Feb compared to Jan.

Well, like you said, 35$ Gift card; but also boosts from the direct videos. The 35$ Gift card was pushing the console very much both on Amazon and Gamestop, but it didn't push out of the charts the versions without the gift card, either. On Amazon for instance, all 3 SKU were selling faster than any PS4 or XBO SKU despite only one having a promotion.



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Nuvendil on 10 March 2019
Amnesia said:
Nuvendil said:

NPD tracks by weeks not days.  Just so you know.

Ok then it is 4 weeks for both January and February. But I still don't see why in average, people estimate +10-15% for Feb compared to Jan.

The gift card bundle actually has been trending strongly on all trackers.  February is also a stronger month generally, iirc.  And the Switch has been up  yoy weekly by a very significant percent, according to the Jan NPD.  And we've seen no cause to doubt that will continue.