By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Nintendo Switch Hardware/Software Predictions (January 31st update)

KrspaceT said:
Wouldn't it be Jan 31'st in Japan? Right now it's 8:20 PM in Japan, so it would be 31st there in 3 hours and 40 minutes.

Earnings are released after the stock market has closed for the day in Japan, so the results are still a good 20 hours away.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

Around the Network

Hardware : 33M

Software :
1 - MK8D 15M
2 - SMO 14M
3 - BoTW 12M
4 - SSBUlt 9M
5 - Splatoon2 9M
6 - Pkn Let's Go P 6M
7 - Super Mario Party 5M
8 - Pkn Let's Go E 4M
9 - Mario Tennis Aces 3M
10 - Kirby Star Allies 2.9M



Switch - 32.85 million

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 16.00 million
Super Mario Odyssey - 14.40 million
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 12.50 million
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 11.60 million
Pokemon Let's Go - 9.75 million
Splatoon 2 - 9.10 million
Super Mario Party - 6.40 million
1-2-Switch - 3.10 million
Mario Tennis Aces - 2.95 million
Kirby Star Allies - 2.80 million



KrspaceT said:
Wouldn't it be Jan 31'st in Japan? Right now it's 8:20 PM in Japan, so it would be 31st there in 3 hours and 40 minutes.

Yeah but they don't wake people to make meetings at midnight :D

If we talk regular office hours, the numbers should be revealed between 10 AM-11 AM tomorrow morning in Japan



"Quagmire, are you the type of guy who takes 'no' for an answer ?"
"My lawyer doesn't allow me to answer that question"

PSN ID: skmblake | Feel free to add me

I prefer to say nothing about software. I can't predict yet the gap between VGC tracking and total shipment announced.

Last edited by Amnesia - on 30 January 2019

Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (2nd)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13 rank
Fastest TGM3 MASTER in Europe : rank Master V in 5min10
Western record on TGM3 EASY : 1484
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Non-geek activity : ThermalHungary

Around the Network

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html
I'm actually surprised that Let's Go got to 10m shipped already.

Last edited by wombat123 - on 31 January 2019

Damn, I overshot everything accept for Pokemon, I was right on the money with that one.
But, I at 32.27 million units, (not even 10 million shipped) I think we can kiss 20 million goodbye.



Asriel said:
My predictions from the other thread, which I gave back in November:

Switch shipments: 10 million (32.86 million LT) Q3 Shipments: 9.4 million (32.27 million LT)

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 15.2 million -- 15.02 million
Super Mario Odyssey - 14.8 million -- 13.76 million
Breath of the Wild - 13 million -- 11. 68 million
Super Smash Bros Ultimate - 11 million -- 12.08 million
Pokemon Let's Go - 9.5 million -- 10 million
Splatoon 2 - 9 million -- 8.27 million
Super Mario Party - 4.5 million -- 5.3 million 
1-2 Switch - 3 million -- 2.86 million
Mario Tennis Aces - 2.5 million -- 2.53 million
Kirby Star Allies - 2.3 million -- 2.42 million

I'll stick with these.

My predictions were made mid-November originally - over-estimated Switch units and on the software side I under-estimated the new releases and over-estimated the evergreen titles, though I was very close with Mario Kart 8 DX, Mario Tennis,1-2 Switch and Kirby.



p0isonparadise said:
Switch - 32.85 million

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 16.00 million
Super Mario Odyssey - 14.40 million
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 12.50 million
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 11.60 million
Pokemon Let's Go - 9.75 million
Splatoon 2 - 9.10 million
Super Mario Party - 6.40 million
1-2-Switch - 3.10 million
Mario Tennis Aces - 2.95 million
Kirby Star Allies - 2.80 million

Overestimated everything except Smash and Pokemon. Yikes.