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snowy4manutd said:

Exactly it's in the EU's interest to deal with us as they will be losing more than the UK's contribution payment but a lot of trade to our rest of world partners if we leave with no deal. The only reason the figures are that high is because of European restrictions on our trade to rest of the world over the years. NO DEAL ALL THE WAY!!

Don't be too surprised if your "rest of the world partners" turn out to be more interested in access to the EU single market, than in the UK's market.



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fatslob-:O said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

1. What about the tens of billions of smuggled good making it's way into the UK? A border works both ways, you know. The only thing the Eire will loose forever with the UK will be the open border.

3. The EU cannot boot out any other country. Countries may leave if they wish, but can't be kicked out for whatever reason. Otherwise you can be sure the UK would have been out for a long time now, always wanting a cake and eat it too for decades. The Uk got exemptions, rebates and whatsnot, and yet they are still unhappy and bickering all the time. There were times where I would have loved to be in the European Parliament just to tell Cameron at the time to shut the fuck up for his ridiculous demand of the day, and yes, including the F word. You'll understand that many Europeans just think "Goodbye and good riddance you ingrates" when it comes to the Brexit.

In any case, wtf about all that talk of smuggling?

Besides, if the UK crashes out, that also means no deal on the Irish border and thus a hard border will be unavoidable there, and all because the UK  parliament can't stop bickering with themselves for 2 seconds. Seriously the parliament is so broken that whatever the EU would offer by now, it would be shot down in parliament even if it would be better than what the UK had during it's stay in the EU. So forget about any backstop, that won't happening, and the UK should take all the blame for that.

1. I very much doubt that. The UK has a leverage because it has the power to unilaterally import whatever shit it wants and if Ireland doesn't want to be responsible for meeting EU customs requirements then it's as good as single market access but without many of the downsides of membership for the UK. The EU single market by definition is a very protectionist and developing market when Southern Europe struggles very much and Eastern Europe is in it's infancy so imagine for a moment what the instability of being out competed by far cheaper goods would mean to them ... (we are talking about rising deficits due to capital outflows in places with relatively high interest rates) 

3. Article 7 and I don't think it will matter much if the other 26 remaining EU member state won't tolerate Ireland not cracking down on smuggling ... (EU needs to cut Ireland out of the single market and customs union just in case it doesn't install a hard border)

A hard border CAN be avoidable but it means Ireland quitting the EU single market and customs union plus the EU is threatening Ireland if it doesn't take action ... (I guess there are *cracks* within the 'solidarity') 

If Ireland DOES want to go the hard border route then they can kiss their chances of reunification goodbye ... (GFA stipulates that Ireland must meet it's end of the bargain in order for Northern Ireland to hold a sovereignty referendum)

Leo and Ireland especially must pick between having their pride (reunification) or it's source of wealth (EU single market) ... (the DUP will make life hell for them) 

Aren't you aware how crazy the things you say sound?
You're pro Brexit (no deal Brexit?), a huge part why people voted for Brexit was to regain their "sovereignty" but you want to throw away the new gained "sovereignty" by completly deregulate the UK market. The majority of the working class who voted for Brexit would be hurt the most by that.

And why? In order to damp Ireland in smuggle ware, to either force Ireland out of the single market or to let them break the GFA.

seriously what did the Irish do to you, why are you so angry at them?



snowy4manutd said:

Exactly it's in the EU's interest to deal with us as they will be losing more than the UK's contribution payment but a lot of trade to our rest of world partners if we leave with no deal. The only reason the figures are that high is because of European restrictions on our trade to rest of the world over the years. NO DEAL ALL THE WAY!!

So your logic is because it ll hurt the EU, even if it hurts the UK 5 times as much, its okay.... you have position of strength, because the EU wont accept takeing such a loss?

Time to wake up and smell the coffee.

Enough chaseing unicorns.... that isnt how things will play out.
There will be a hard border in ireland, because of you guys leaveing.

Didnt want that? should have thought up a work around before invokeing article 50.
There was never any way around this issue.
England broke its GFA (good friday agreement) with Ireland, imo.



fatslob-:O said:
MrWayne said:

3. No because the EU can't do something like that, only Ireland can decide that and I guess it would be impossible to do it without leaving the Union.

Honestly this comment of yours is kinda disgusting. It seems like you're a person who just likes to see things burn.

No, what's disgusting is Leo and the Fine Gael's appalling behaviour regarding their attacks on British sovereignty and what you said wasn't true ... 

The EU can seek to use Article 7 against it's own member state if they unanimously feel that the member state in question is acting in bad faith. Ireland MUST MEET the EU's obligations otherwise it'll strip away Ireland's voting rights and go forward by kicking them out of the single market and the customs union if they AREN'T going to install an Irish border ... 

The UK having access while having no import controls makes them the MOST DANGEROUS THREAT to the EU SINGLE MARKET so punitive action needs to be DEALT WITH on Ireland!  

It's unacceptable from the EU's perspective for a current member state to allow a former member state to be able to participate in the single market when the latter will likely call on the lowest bidders (poor nations) to do their dirty work for them by depleting European banknote reserves since the UK's cheap imports will out compete the local markets at large putting them out of business thus risking a European economic depression ... 

Ireland should not expect ANY sympathy from the other EU member states which will bear the brunt of the smuggling at an upwards of hundred billion Euros so they had best put up a hard border with Northern Ireland or accept an EU customs check at the continent ... 

I'm a person looking for entertainment and I'll enjoy seeing Leo Varadkar along with Donald Tusk burn in hell with the Brexiteers as well if they're only going to seek this to the very bitter end ... (I look forward to Leo breaking down into tears between his choice for the single market or Irish reunification once the UK will rock the singe market boat through smuggling) 

Again, what's with all that smuggling nonsense?

Also, not wanting a hard border is becasuse of the Troubles potentially resparking in Northern Ireland and has nothing directly to do with Ireland proper, but the unionists and the nationalists

And, like I said, if a hard Brexit comes, and it's on the best way to get there really, border controls will happen there no matter what. It's actually required under WTO rules.

fatslob-:O said: 
Bofferbrauer2 said: 

1. What about the tens of billions of smuggled good making it's way into the UK? A border works both ways, you know. The only thing the Eire will loose forever with the UK will be the open border.

3. The EU cannot boot out any other country. Countries may leave if they wish, but can't be kicked out for whatever reason. Otherwise you can be sure the UK would have been out for a long time now, always wanting a cake and eat it too for decades. The Uk got exemptions, rebates and whatsnot, and yet they are still unhappy and bickering all the time. There were times where I would have loved to be in the European Parliament just to tell Cameron at the time to shut the fuck up for his ridiculous demand of the day, and yes, including the F word. You'll understand that many Europeans just think "Goodbye and good riddance you ingrates" when it comes to the Brexit.

In any case, wtf about all that talk of smuggling?

Besides, if the UK crashes out, that also means no deal on the Irish border and thus a hard border will be unavoidable there, and all because the UK  parliament can't stop bickering with themselves for 2 seconds. Seriously the parliament is so broken that whatever the EU would offer by now, it would be shot down in parliament even if it would be better than what the UK had during it's stay in the EU. So forget about any backstop, that won't happening, and the UK should take all the blame for that.

1. I very much doubt that. The UK has a leverage because it has the power to unilaterally import whatever shit it wants and if Ireland doesn't want to be responsible for meeting EU customs requirements then it's as good as single market access but without many of the downsides of membership for the UK. The EU single market by definition is a very protectionist and developing market when Southern Europe struggles very much and Eastern Europe is in it's infancy so imagine for a moment what the instability of being out competed by far cheaper goods would mean to them ... (we are talking about rising deficits due to capital outflows in places with relatively high interest rates) 

3. Article 7 and I don't think it will matter much if the other 26 remaining EU member state won't tolerate Ireland not cracking down on smuggling ... (EU needs to cut Ireland out of the single market and customs union just in case it doesn't install a hard border)

A hard border CAN be avoidable but it means Ireland quitting the EU single market and customs union plus the EU is threatening Ireland if it doesn't take action ... (I guess there are *cracks* within the 'solidarity') 

If Ireland DOES want to go the hard border route then they can kiss their chances of reunification goodbye ... (GFA stipulates that Ireland must meet it's end of the bargain in order for Northern Ireland to hold a sovereignty referendum)

Leo and Ireland especially must pick between having their pride (reunification) or it's source of wealth (EU single market) ... (the DUP will make life hell for them) 

1. What bullshit are you blabbering there?

The UK will, after a hard Brexit, only be able to import through WTO rules. And that means anybody whom the UK wants to import their goods from has a say about it. In fact, it's possible that the UK won't be able to import at all at first as the WTO schedules (the rules by which a country trades) need to be agreed upon by all WTO members, so until there's an agreement there it's possible no trade is possible (though I expect that those who agree on it will go by the schedules, which are the schedules the EU is using for the countries the EU has no trade agreement - all 12 (soon 13) of them. Importing unilaterally is impossible due to WTO's non-discriminatory rules: If the UK doesn't want to control the goods coming in from Ireland, than they can't control the other borders either as everybody under WTO rules needs to be treated equally.

Oh, and every market is somewhat protectionist, every single country has tariffs. In fact, by comparison the tariffs of the EU are rather low and since 2015 tariff barriers on (non-GMO) food had been successively reduced

3. Again, what are you talking about smuggling all the time? Also, keep in mind that the EU is a net exporter as a whole, but the UK is a net importer (especially on food, but by far not the only commodity the UK is importing en masse), so it's rather up to the UK to be concerned about smuggling. But look again what I wrote above about the barriers... Also, what about article 7? Just to quote: Article 7 of the Treaty on European Union is a procedure in the treaties of the European Union (EU) to suspend certain rights from a member state. While rights can be suspended, there is no mechanism to expel a member  so what's you (moot) point anyway?

Yes, a hard border can be avoided by Ireland by leaving the EU and getting back under the UK thumb. But guess what: That's just what they are avoiding for 100 years now. So, again, moot.

Oh, and about the reunification: I'd rather say the UK can soon kiss the UK goodbye, as I don't think the Scots or the Norther Eire (who both vote remain I might add) will want to stay in the UK any much longer, especially not with all the problems a no-deal poses on the population.



fatslob-:O said: 

3. Have the EU made ANY GUARANTEES to Leo that they WILL NOT boot Ireland out of the single market and customs union in the case where no border is installed with Northern Ireland ? 

People seem to have forgotten that Ireland only joined the EU because the UK did. They've promised financial aid to Ireland. Unfortunately 80% tariffs on irish beef from the UK will cripple their farming industry.

Ireland has completely misplayed their hand. They could have had re-unification and had someone to pay for it if that's what the Irish government truly wanted.



Nov 2016 - NES outsells PS1 (JP)

Don't Play Stationary 4 ever. Switch!

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MrWayne said:

Aren't you aware how crazy the things you say sound?
You're pro Brexit (no deal Brexit?), a huge part why people voted for Brexit was to regain their "sovereignty" but you want to throw away the new gained "sovereignty" by completly deregulate the UK market. The majority of the working class who voted for Brexit would be hurt the most by that.

And why? In order to damp Ireland in smuggle ware, to either force Ireland out of the single market or to let them break the GFA.

seriously what did the Irish do to you, why are you so angry at them?

It really isn't, the UK should use every advantage it has in it's arsenal. The UK should use it's new found sovereignty to wreck both the EU and Ireland in the process in the case of a no deal ...  

In the event of a no deal exit, Britain isn't legally compelled by the EU or Ireland to have it's own goods checked so they will use their only backdoor (Irish border) if they must to access the single market ... (the EU had better be prepared because the UK will be to make sure it's member states go into default) 

As for the working class they'll be fine as long as the backdoor remains open so that they'll sell the cheap goods coming into the UK for a very high markup in the EU since the EU member states can't competitively import these goods at lower rates either because of high tariffs or regulations so they are going to give the EU a taste of their own globalist medicine. In a way, I guess Brexiteers were right that the UK will be like Singapore ... 

The EU either has to cut off it's own hand (UK) or it's entire arm (Ireland) too if it get's infected (no Irish border), HAHAHAHAHAHAHA ...

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Again, what's with all that smuggling nonsense?

Also, not wanting a hard border is becasuse of the Troubles potentially resparking in Northern Ireland and has nothing directly to do with Ireland proper, but the unionists and the nationalists

And, like I said, if a hard Brexit comes, and it's on the best way to get there really, border controls will happen there no matter what. It's actually required under WTO rules.

It has EVERYTHING to do with Ireland if it wants to keep reunification on the table with Northern Ireland. It is because of the nationalist forces in Northern Ireland that Ireland itself has a stake in it all ...

As for the WTO, article 21 states that an exemption can be made for reasons such as national security so the UK can make a strong legal case that it doesn't have to put up a border on their side if they don't want to. The WTO has tons of holes in it and they don't specifically say that a nation needs to police it's border, it just doesn't have to discriminate other nations if it has no trade deals ... 

I agree that a border might be required but this time it's the EU or Ireland that has to draw the line because the UK clearly won't ...  

Bofferbrauer2 said: 

1. What bullshit are you blabbering there?

The UK will, after a hard Brexit, only be able to import through WTO rules. And that means anybody whom the UK wants to import their goods from has a say about it. In fact, it's possible that the UK won't be able to import at all at first as the WTO schedules (the rules by which a country trades) need to be agreed upon by all WTO members, so until there's an agreement there it's possible no trade is possible (though I expect that those who agree on it will go by the schedules, which are the schedules the EU is using for the countries the EU has no trade agreement - all 12 (soon 13) of them. Importing unilaterally is impossible due to WTO's non-discriminatory rules: If the UK doesn't want to control the goods coming in from Ireland, than they can't control the other borders either as everybody under WTO rules needs to be treated equally.

Oh, and every market is somewhat protectionist, every single country has tariffs. In fact, by comparison the tariffs of the EU are rather low and since 2015 tariff barriers on (non-GMO) food had been successively reduced

3. Again, what are you talking about smuggling all the time? Also, keep in mind that the EU is a net exporter as a whole, but the UK is a net importer (especially on food, but by far not the only commodity the UK is importing en masse), so it's rather up to the UK to be concerned about smuggling. But look again what I wrote above about the barriers... Also, what about article 7? Just to quote: Article 7 of the Treaty on European Union is a procedure in the treaties of the European Union (EU) to suspend certain rights from a member state. While rights can be suspended, there is no mechanism to expel a member  so what's you (moot) point anyway?

Yes, a hard border can be avoided by Ireland by leaving the EU and getting back under the UK thumb. But guess what: That's just what they are avoiding for 100 years now. So, again, moot.

Oh, and about the reunification: I'd rather say the UK can soon kiss the UK goodbye, as I don't think the Scots or the Norther Eire (who both vote remain I might add) will want to stay in the UK any much longer, especially not with all the problems a no-deal poses on the population.

1. The UK can abuse a loophole (having it's own import controls) with a backdoor being available (no Irish border) which means far cheaper goods entering inside the EU and they can use article 21 as their defense ... 

3. I talk about smuggling because it's an absolutely important issue and the EU seems to think so too because quite a few of it's member states are afraid as fuck that their economy isn't all that competitive in the global market so they have to resort to putting tariffs or most importantly high regulations on imports. Think about it for a moment what will happen to the EU's agriculture sector if the UK is able to sell cheaper produce to EU consumers ? It's specifically because the EU has a trade surplus with the UK that they should be worried most about smuggling since the UK won't have to buy overpriced European crap and the fact that they can undercut European producers by reselling those imported goods which means that the EU could very well see a trade deficit with the UK instead all the while not being an EU member! (the EU seems to understand this risk unlike you) The UK will be fine with smuggling from the EU since it had to prop up their less productive economy for a while so they aren't going to buy the EU's overpriced crap but the EU on the other hand is going to face a shitstorm if Ireland allows cheap UK imports into it's own market. With Article 7, the EU could in theory suspend Ireland's right to participate in the single market and customs union ... 

@Bold I didn't imply that so that's just a straw man on your part. Ireland will be forced out of the single market and customs because I doubt the EU will tolerate smuggling from the UK ... 

As for your last sentence, the likewise applies to Ireland with the EU SM/CU so why would Northern Ireland want to join a soon to be even poorer nation after no deal when the UK gives it a shit ton of subsidies ? Could Ireland afford Northern Ireland after no deal happens AND when they get the boot from the EU ?  

Pyro as Bill said:

People seem to have forgotten that Ireland only joined the EU because the UK did. They've promised financial aid to Ireland. Unfortunately 80% tariffs on irish beef from the UK will cripple their farming industry.

Ireland has completely misplayed their hand. They could have had re-unification and had someone to pay for it if that's what the Irish government truly wanted.

The UK has no need to place tariffs (it can't anyways as per GFA) on Irish beef when it's overpriced in comparison to South American beef. Both the EU and Ireland will be screaming in agony after no deal once China and the others will come through the backdoor raping their "single market" in the process, LMFAO ...  

"No deal" is an empty ass threat if they don't decide to amputate Ireland as well. If Britain's going to crash out it may as well take the EU market or Irish reunification as a collateral ...  



fatslob-:O said:

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Again, what's with all that smuggling nonsense?

Also, not wanting a hard border is becasuse of the Troubles potentially resparking in Northern Ireland and has nothing directly to do with Ireland proper, but the unionists and the nationalists

And, like I said, if a hard Brexit comes, and it's on the best way to get there really, border controls will happen there no matter what. It's actually required under WTO rules.

It has EVERYTHING to do with Ireland if it wants to keep reunification on the table with Northern Ireland. It is because of the nationalist forces in Northern Ireland that Ireland itself has a stake in it all ...

As for the WTO, article 21 states that an exemption can be made for reasons such as national security so the UK can make a strong legal case that it doesn't have to put up a border on their side if they don't want to. The WTO has tons of holes in it and they don't specifically say that a nation needs to police it's border, it just doesn't have to discriminate other nations if it has no trade deals ... 

I agree that a border might be required but this time it's the EU or Ireland that has to draw the line because the UK clearly won't ...  

Bofferbrauer2 said: 

1. What bullshit are you blabbering there?

The UK will, after a hard Brexit, only be able to import through WTO rules. And that means anybody whom the UK wants to import their goods from has a say about it. In fact, it's possible that the UK won't be able to import at all at first as the WTO schedules (the rules by which a country trades) need to be agreed upon by all WTO members, so until there's an agreement there it's possible no trade is possible (though I expect that those who agree on it will go by the schedules, which are the schedules the EU is using for the countries the EU has no trade agreement - all 12 (soon 13) of them. Importing unilaterally is impossible due to WTO's non-discriminatory rules: If the UK doesn't want to control the goods coming in from Ireland, than they can't control the other borders either as everybody under WTO rules needs to be treated equally.

Oh, and every market is somewhat protectionist, every single country has tariffs. In fact, by comparison the tariffs of the EU are rather low and since 2015 tariff barriers on (non-GMO) food had been successively reduced

3. Again, what are you talking about smuggling all the time? Also, keep in mind that the EU is a net exporter as a whole, but the UK is a net importer (especially on food, but by far not the only commodity the UK is importing en masse), so it's rather up to the UK to be concerned about smuggling. But look again what I wrote above about the barriers... Also, what about article 7? Just to quote: Article 7 of the Treaty on European Union is a procedure in the treaties of the European Union (EU) to suspend certain rights from a member state. While rights can be suspended, there is no mechanism to expel a member  so what's you (moot) point anyway?

Yes, a hard border can be avoided by Ireland by leaving the EU and getting back under the UK thumb. But guess what: That's just what they are avoiding for 100 years now. So, again, moot.

Oh, and about the reunification: I'd rather say the UK can soon kiss the UK goodbye, as I don't think the Scots or the Norther Eire (who both vote remain I might add) will want to stay in the UK any much longer, especially not with all the problems a no-deal poses on the population.

1. The UK can abuse a loophole (having it's own import controls) with a backdoor being available (no Irish border) which means far cheaper goods entering inside the EU and they can use article 21 as their defense ... 

3. I talk about smuggling because it's an absolutely important issue and the EU seems to think so too because quite a few of it's member states are afraid as fuck that their economy isn't all that competitive in the global market so they have to resort to putting tariffs or most importantly high regulations on imports. Think about it for a moment what will happen to the EU's agriculture sector if the UK is able to sell cheaper produce to EU consumers ? It's specifically because the EU has a trade surplus with the UK that they should be worried most about smuggling since the UK won't have to buy overpriced European crap and the fact that they can undercut European producers by reselling those imported goods which means that the EU could very well see a trade deficit with the UK instead all the while not being an EU member! (the EU seems to understand this risk unlike you) The UK will be fine with smuggling from the EU since it had to prop up their less productive economy for a while so they aren't going to buy the EU's overpriced crap but the EU on the other hand is going to face a shitstorm if Ireland allows cheap UK imports into it's own market. With Article 7, the EU could in theory suspend Ireland's right to participate in the single market and customs union ... 

@Bold I didn't imply that so that's just a straw man on your part. Ireland will be forced out of the single market and customs because I doubt the EU will tolerate smuggling from the UK ... 

As for your last sentence, the likewise applies to Ireland with the EU SM/CU so why would Northern Ireland want to join a soon to be even poorer nation after no deal when the UK gives it a shit ton of subsidies ? Could Ireland afford Northern Ireland after no deal happens AND when they get the boot from the EU ?  

1. The UK having it's own import controls is just that: import controls. For everything that goes out that way, Ireland will have to set up their own import controls, and until those are set, no trade can go through. The EU is already preparing in Ireland, Calais and Rotterdam for these additional controls, the booths just need to be set up and the goods controlled. The UK is also buying scanners and the like, and planning huge parking lots because the trucks will have to wait their turn

Problem with your Article 21 theory is that it is an agreement, meaning that both the UK and the EU would need to agree on that - and that can still be shot down, especially after calling out the US for using a similar reason for taxing EU steel imports as that would make the EU and the UK look like massive hypocrites. So, not really an option.

@bolded: Thanks for the joke, I really needed a good laugh.

In case you don't know, the UK is importing vast amounts of foods and only exporting very little of it, though I agree that most of those go to Ireland. Much more likely will be that the UK won't have any food left to export or smuggle anyway, all while Ireland can source their food from the rest of the EU.

Also, why do you think UK food will be cheaper? With the EU subsidies falling away it can only get more expensive except a similar amount of subsidies will get applied by the UK - if a no-deal doesn't outright kill parts of the industry . You call EU food overpriced, but why do you think the UK supermarkets are full of them? Right, because UK foods are not cheaper, but more expensive, safe for some fish and a couple cheeses that are not popular in mainland Europe. Why do you think the UK is stockpiling food left, right and center, among other things, like medicine while they still can (and that won't come cheap btw)? Certainly not because the UK has any surplus of it. In fact, the UK is only 60% self-sufficient, meaning almost half of the food needs to be imported; and a whooping 70% of those food imports come from the EU. Btw, there's no tariff on these food imports, but the mean WTO value is 22%

The problem in that BBC article is not smuggling, but frigging normal trade! Because like Is said, everything coming in and out of NI through Ireland needs to be scanned and registered the same way as the EU with all other countries the EU has no trade agreement with

Oh, and if you come with such theories, please make them at least coherent.

And yes, you implied that bolded plenty. And no, Ireland will certainly not as dumb as the UK to leave. And again, there's no way for the EU to force out anybody. Even better, Ireland is going to Veto if the UK wants their cake and eat it too as usual.



Bofferbrauer2 said:

Oh, and about the reunification: I'd rather say the UK can soon kiss the UK goodbye, as I don't think the Scots or the Norther Eire (who both vote remain I might add) will want to stay in the UK any much longer, especially not with all the problems a no-deal poses on the population.

As afaik 2/3rds of Scotlands trade is with the rest of the UK, Scotxit from the UK could be another economy wrecking decision - unfortunately they seem pretty stuck there.

Last edited by Lafiel - on 10 February 2019

Lafiel said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Oh, and about the reunification: I'd rather say the UK can soon kiss the UK goodbye, as I don't think the Scots or the Norther Eire (who both vote remain I might add) will want to stay in the UK any much longer, especially not with all the problems a no-deal poses on the population.

As afaik 2/3rds of Scotlands trade is with the rest of the UK, Scotxit from the UK could be another economy wrecking decision - unfortunately they seem pretty stuck there.

Its less than 2/3s Lafiel.

Why?

Because 43% is directly with EU country members.... if you count other countries trade agreements from EU, that number goes higher.

Im guessing UK makes up atmost abit over 50% of scotlands trade.

Scoutxit would more or less be as bad for them as leaveing the EU (brexit)



JRPGfan said:
Lafiel said:

As afaik 2/3rds of Scotlands trade is with the rest of the UK, Scotxit from the UK could be another economy wrecking decision - unfortunately they seem pretty stuck there.

Its less than 2/3s Lafiel.

Why?

Because 43% is directly with EU country members.... if you count other countries trade agreements from EU, that number goes higher.

Im guessing UK makes up atmost abit over 50% of scotlands trade.

Scoutxit would more or less be as bad for them as leaveing the EU (brexit)

It would also leave the rest of the UK even worse off since a Scoxit would also mean that the UK would loose most of it's North Sea oil that way.