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Forums - Sales Discussion - November NPD 2018 Thread

jason1637 said:
Intrinsic said:

I am actually thinking more like under 1M.  

Its possible. Especially if the switch sells even as much as 1.7M in december. I really don't see PS4 doin more than 1M in december.

PS4 willdo over 1m because there is lots of stock and people want PS4s.

Last year... even after a better November than the PS4 had this year and not including cyber monday sales in november it stilll only managed 1M. 

This year it has no cyber monday boost. It has been down for most months this year and there is n $199 deal for december. 

Its looking grim.



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Great numbers for everyone and congrats to Sony!
Surprised by the Xbox selling almost as much as last year.

Last edited by Keybladewielder - on 14 December 2018

jason1637 said:
People expecting switch to be #1 this year are crazy. No way switch is outselling the ps4 by over 600k in December.

IT actually needs 660K+, I believe.  It's not out of the realm of possibility, but I don't see it happening.  CM was included in last year's numbers, which saw the Switch sell 1.5M.  Switch seems to have a much larger presence on CM than PS4 does, PS4 seemingly doing much better at brick and mortar stores.  It doesn't help that Amazon and Sony seem to be having some kind of disagreement, seeing as Amazon doesn't take in nearly as much stock as it used to for the PS4 (which completely screwed up the Amazon threads being accurate.)

I think this year, unless Sony does some kind of deal, they will be ~1M for Dec.  Switch will have Smash and Pokemon which will equal the affect of Mario Odyssey, while also making up for CM not being included, so I think sales will be ~1.4M-1.6M.  It'll still be damn close.  But, yea, I just don't see the 2M+ that some are predicting.



thismeintiel said:
jason1637 said:
People expecting switch to be #1 this year are crazy. No way switch is outselling the ps4 by over 600k in December.

IT actually needs 660K+, I believe.  It's not out of the realm of possibility, but I don't see it happening.  CM was included in last year's numbers, which saw the Switch sell 1.5M.  Switch seems to have a much larger presence on CM than PS4 does, PS4 seemingly doing much better at brick and mortar stores.  It doesn't help that Amazon and Sony seem to be having some kind of disagreement, seeing as Amazon doesn't take in nearly as much stock as it used to for the PS4 (which completely screwed up the Amazon threads being accurate.)

I think this year, unless Sony does some kind of deal, they will be ~1M for Dec.  Switch will have Smash and Pokemon which will equal the affect of Mario Odyssey, while also making up for CM not being included, so I think sales will be ~1.4M-1.6M.  It'll still be damn close.  But, yea, I just don't see the 2M+ that some are predicting.

Want to make a bet on that? Hell i even throw in a150k bonus



tbone51 said:
thismeintiel said:

IT actually needs 660K+, I believe.  It's not out of the realm of possibility, but I don't see it happening.  CM was included in last year's numbers, which saw the Switch sell 1.5M.  Switch seems to have a much larger presence on CM than PS4 does, PS4 seemingly doing much better at brick and mortar stores.  It doesn't help that Amazon and Sony seem to be having some kind of disagreement, seeing as Amazon doesn't take in nearly as much stock as it used to for the PS4 (which completely screwed up the Amazon threads being accurate.)

I think this year, unless Sony does some kind of deal, they will be ~1M for Dec.  Switch will have Smash and Pokemon which will equal the affect of Mario Odyssey, while also making up for CM not being included, so I think sales will be ~1.4M-1.6M.  It'll still be damn close.  But, yea, I just don't see the 2M+ that some are predicting.

Want to make a bet on that? Hell i even throw in a150k bonus

Sure, never done one before.  So, if Switch sells 1.75M or below, I win?  And over 1.75M, you win?  What are we betting for?



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Thread update, sorry if late



chakkra said:

[PS4] 1550K

[NSW] 1350K

[XB1] 1300K

Well well well, will you look at that..  I don't think I have ever been this close before.  Looks like I'm getting better at this :)



thismeintiel said:
tbone51 said:

Want to make a bet on that? Hell i even throw in a150k bonus

Sure, never done one before.  So, if Switch sells 1.75M or below, I win?  And over 1.75M, you win?  What are we betting for?

No if switch outsells ps4 for the year. I win if it does but by at least 150k.

 

Sig control for 1 month. 



Doesn't the PS4 have a $199 deal this month and a $249 1TB RDR2 deal as well? Or is that not for the US? I could be mixing some stuff up.



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

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LipeJJ said:
Miyamotoo said:

PS4 will most likely sell below 1.2m in December, while its expected that Switch with Smash will do around 2m at least.

2m+? Wow! I hope you guys are right, that would be awesomely great. 

Well Switch last December sold around 1.5m, this December has Smash Bros launch, so at least around 2m is expected.