The NFL Thread 2018: The New England Patriots win Super Bowl LIII

Snoopy

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Snoopy on 26 November 2018

RolStoppable said:
It's time for Run the Table, Part II.

The Packers are 1.5 games behind the sixth seed, but they have the easiest schedule of all contenders left. Still, all the injuries and the wonky play on both offense and defense do not instill a lot of confidence, but maybe the do-or-die situation makes coaches and players get their act together.

Saw the playoff chances for the Packers while watching the game. They are at 3% after the loss while a win would have resulted in 28%. What a laughable figure, that 28%. Trailing half a game behind the fifth seed in that scenario and having a cakewalk schedule, but it's only 28%? The 3% seem about right though.

Greenbay should just start their back up QB. Aaron Rodgers is not good enough for the NFL anymore.

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MTZehvor on 26 November 2018

RolStoppable said:

Saw the playoff chances for the Packers while watching the game. They are at 3% after the loss while a win would have resulted in 28%. What a laughable figure, that 28%. Trailing half a game behind the fifth seed in that scenario and having a cakewalk schedule, but it's only 28%? The 3% seem about right though.

28 vs. 3, you say?

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MTZehvor on 26 November 2018

RolStoppable said:

MTZehvor said:

28 vs. 3, you say?

Yes, those were the percentages in case of a win or loss, respectively. I'd have put those numbers at 78% and 3%, respectively.

I don't think you quite understand.

28 to 3?

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MTZehvor on 27 November 2018

Week 12 Results

-Username-	Week 11	Pct.	PP
burninmylight	12-3	0.800	4
Chris Hu	12-3	0.800	4
TheGoldenBoy	12-3	0.800	4
cycycychris	11-4	0.733	2
Farsala	11-4	0.733	2
Level1Death	11-4	0.733	2
NobleTeam360	11-4	0.733	2
XD84	11-4	0.733	2
Angelus	10-5	0.667	1
MTZehvor	10-5	0.667	1
Rolstoppable	10-5	0.667	1
BlowoverKing	9-6	0.600
Carl	8-7	0.533
LudicrousSpeed	0-15	0.000

A much more predictable set of results lead to something of a bounceback week for the league. Burninmylight, Chris Hu, and The Golden Boy set the weekly standard with a 12-3 record. Meanwhile, the Lions can absolutely go fuck themselves. Figure out whether you're a good or bad team already, Detroit. Don't go and beat the Panthers and then lose at home to a Bears team without its starting QB. Fuck you guys.

Whatever.

Rank	-Username-	Correct	Wrong	Pct.	PP	#1-3	#1	#2	#3	PR	PW
1	burninmylight	114	62	0.648	24	10	3	4	3	1	0
2	Level1Death	114	62	0.648	23	11	2	5	4	1	0
3	TheGoldenBoy	113	63	0.642	22	10	3	3	4	0	0
4	cycycychris	113	63	0.642	20	12	1	5	6	0	0
5	RolStoppable	111	65	0.631	23	10	1	6	3	4	0
6	MTZehvor	110	66	0.625	20	9	2	4	3	1	0
7	BlowoverKing	106	70	0.602	16	8	2	2	4	0	0
8	XD84	106	70	0.602	16	7	2	1	4	2	0
9	Chris Hu	105	71	0.597	7	8	2	3	3	0	0
10	Angelus	101	75	0.574	11	8	0	3	5	0	0
11	Carl	99	77	0.563	14	6	1	4	1	1	0
12	Farsala	97	79	0.551	17	7	2	3	2	1	0
13	NobleTeam360	87	89	0.494	10	7	0	3	4	0	0
14	LudicrousSpeed	79	97	0.449	7	5	0	2	3	0	0

Burninmylight, by virtue of PP tiebreaker, unseats Level1Death as the leader for now. The top spot has been changing hands quite a bit recently, and given that four predictors are all within a single game of first place, it's likely that it will continue to do so. The rest of the standings remained fairly stable, although TheGoldenBoy managed to jump both cycychris and RolStoppable for 3rd place.

As a somewhat interesting note, with XD84's second place finish this week, everyone in the league has recorded a second or third place finish in weekly predictions at least once. Only Angelus, Noble, and Ludicrous Speed (who I guess got high and forgot about making predictions or something) have failed to record a first place finish in weekly predictions.

Here is the Week 13 schedule. No more byes for the season.