MasonADC said:
colafitte said:
I really don't get why people still deny this....Mario 3D games in home consoles have always been around 10m sold, Odyssey probably will end around 15m. Pokemon games in last 3DS and DS consoles sold around 15-20m. Breath of the Wild is the first Zelda to surpass 10m. Smash Bros usually sells 10-15m too. And Splatoon, maybe one day will be a 10m seller too, but right now, more than a year after, is still around 6m sold. Mario Kart is the best selling game in Nintendo home consoles by far (20m+ easilly). So if I count right, that's 5 Nintendo franchises that sell 10m or more in Nintendo home consoles. Now, comparing to Sony, if we have TLOU at 17m(doesn't matter at all the game launched in 2 consoles, like it doesn't matter with mario kart 8), Uncharted 4 around 10-12, Horizon zero dawn around 8-9m, and God of War on pace to reach 10m before the year ends. That's already 4 Sony franchises. Spiderman is a Sony-Marvel property so is an exclusivity to Sony too, and everybody expects to be as succesful as god of war. Then we have Gran Turismo Sport that will end 2018 around 6-7m and still selling in years to come like previous GT games did before, beause all GT games had a lot of legs except GT6 (and we know the reason why....). I count already 6 different Sony franchises that are close or will surpass 10m sales, maybe even 15m sales. So, I still need to understand why Sony games can't be considered as succesful as Nintendo games saleswise....I haven't yet read a good reason.
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The thing is, the switch seems to be a whole new life from Nintendo's past systems when considering first party sells. Mario Odyssey sold 11 million units in around 8 months, to say that it will only reach 15 million lifetime would be a disappointment. Mario Kart has a good shot at pasting 20 million, Zelda 15 million, and Splatoon 10 million. Let's just assume that the other big titles follow the same pattern, then we can see smash at 20 million, and Animal crossing at 15 million. I can't predict 2d Mario or Pokemon, but they could be just as big or bigger than before. I just don't consider the PS4 titles on this level.
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To me, this sounds like wishful thinking. You add 4-5m more to games that launched in 2017 like if it was easy to do. This notion that all Nintendo games have infinite legs is a lie. 2D Mario and Mario Kart have those legs, but Pokemon, Zelda, Splatoon, not as much (i'm not saying they don't have, I'm saying not at the same level). Mario odyssey will sell 1m a year for the next years as much, and Zelda will start drop in sales inevitably. Splatoon 2 is around 6'5m...., no way will reach 10m in a year or two. And why Animal Crossing will suddenly sell more than 15m??? This notion that Switch is some kind of magic box that makes everything amazing is wrong. Odyssey and BOTW sold a lot because they were historically good games that had amazing marketing campaigns behind them. The same with Smash at 20m.... why???, the Wii one sold around 13m and was hyped as hell then too, so why a game in a console that sold less hardware and softare in the same time period will suddenly sell a 50% more??? that's too much.
And I'm still waiting for a better answer for what i said about sony games than "I just don't consider the PS4 titles on this level". So, when in a year, we start seeing updated numbers and we have Uncharted 4 10-15m, Horizon surpassing 10m, God of War reaching 10m before 2019, Gran Turismo Sport saying that there are 7-8m players (i remember the days in this site when GT5 launched and for years people said that the sales were disappointing, but GT5 kept selling and selling), Spiderman becoming the most succesful Marvel licensed game, TLOU II launching and becoming the fastest Sony game ever, then what? If by the end of this year TLOU, U4, Horizon, GOW and Spiderman are all 10+m sellers, what people will say then?