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Forums - Sales Discussion - How Much Will Switch Sell This Holiday In Japan?

p0isonparadise said:
With Smash and Pokemon coming and a possible Yokai Watch release, Switch is going to have a healthy holiday this year. How well will it sell?

Here is past (successful) Nintendo consoles and how well they sold during their second holiday. NES and GBA are missing. 

Game Boy
11/04/90: 45,410
11/11/90: 45,796 (F-1 Race)
11/18/90: 50,376
11/25/90: 55,414
12/02/90: 60,955
12/09/90: 48,483
12/16/90: 57,005
12/23/90: 113,019
12/30/90: 178,084
=654,542

SNES
11/03/91: 63,999 (Super Castlevania IV)
11/10/91: 69,699
11/17/91: 61,227
11/24/91: 139,499 (The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past)
12/01/91: 62,177
12/08/91: 48,831
12/15/91: 86,737
12/22/91: 129,628
12/29/91: 188,638
=850,415

DS
11/06/05: 51,644
11/13/05: 52,638
11/20/05: 66,817
11/27/05: 148,383 (Animal Crossing Wild World)
12/04/05: 167,556
12/11/05: 299,895 (Mario Kart DS)
12/18/05: 398,435
12/25/05: 603,201
01/01/06: 410,218
=2,198,787

Wii
11/04/07: 39,466 (Super Mario Galaxy)
11/11/07: 34,912
11/18/07: 35,757
11/25/07: 50,884
12/02/07: 73,174 (Wii Fit)
12/09/07: 112,979
12/16/07: 169,956
12/23/07: 249,447
12/30/07: 157,733
=924,308

3DS
11/04/12: 87,466
11/11/12: 178,637 (Animal Crossing New Leaf)
11/18/12: 164,358
11/25/12: 162,117 (Pokemon Mystery Dungeon)
12/02/12: 163,123 (Professor Layton)
12/09/12: 213,146 (Paper Mario)
12/16/12: 325,820
12/23/12: 422,566
12/30/12: 258,034
=1,975,267

Where are you getting these numbers? Not doubting the validity, just curious 



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PortisheadBiscuit said:
p0isonparadise said:
With Smash and Pokemon coming and a possible Yokai Watch release, Switch is going to have a healthy holiday this year. How well will it sell?

Here is past (successful) Nintendo consoles and how well they sold during their second holiday. NES and GBA are missing. 

Game Boy
11/04/90: 45,410
11/11/90: 45,796 (F-1 Race)
11/18/90: 50,376
11/25/90: 55,414
12/02/90: 60,955
12/09/90: 48,483
12/16/90: 57,005
12/23/90: 113,019
12/30/90: 178,084
=654,542

SNES
11/03/91: 63,999 (Super Castlevania IV)
11/10/91: 69,699
11/17/91: 61,227
11/24/91: 139,499 (The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past)
12/01/91: 62,177
12/08/91: 48,831
12/15/91: 86,737
12/22/91: 129,628
12/29/91: 188,638
=850,415

DS
11/06/05: 51,644
11/13/05: 52,638
11/20/05: 66,817
11/27/05: 148,383 (Animal Crossing Wild World)
12/04/05: 167,556
12/11/05: 299,895 (Mario Kart DS)
12/18/05: 398,435
12/25/05: 603,201
01/01/06: 410,218
=2,198,787

Wii
11/04/07: 39,466 (Super Mario Galaxy)
11/11/07: 34,912
11/18/07: 35,757
11/25/07: 50,884
12/02/07: 73,174 (Wii Fit)
12/09/07: 112,979
12/16/07: 169,956
12/23/07: 249,447
12/30/07: 157,733
=924,308

3DS
11/04/12: 87,466
11/11/12: 178,637 (Animal Crossing New Leaf)
11/18/12: 164,358
11/25/12: 162,117 (Pokemon Mystery Dungeon)
12/02/12: 163,123 (Professor Layton)
12/09/12: 213,146 (Paper Mario)
12/16/12: 325,820
12/23/12: 422,566
12/30/12: 258,034
=1,975,267

Where are you getting these numbers? Not doubting the validity, just curious 

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/

VGC gets their numbers from MC/Famitsu which is why numbers go all the way back to 1989.



p0isonparadise said:
PortisheadBiscuit said:

Where are you getting these numbers? Not doubting the validity, just curious 

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/

VGC gets their numbers from MC/Famitsu which is why numbers go all the way back to 1989.

Ahhh okay, had no idea numbers went back that far on this site. Thank you 



~2 million is what im guessing.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Around 2 million is my guess



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Even though I think Yokai will be saved for early 2019, I think 2 million is still doable, so that's my guess



I'd say 1.7m - 2m.