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Forums - Nintendo - So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

BlackBeauty on 21 December 2018

They will smash it if Fire Emblem or any big first party (Animal Crossing, Luigi Mansion etc) releases right before their fiscal year ending.

Last year it was Bayonetta 1/2 and Kirby.



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Miyamotoo on 21 December 2018

Switch is selling great and much better than is same period (Nov-Dec) of last year, so they have good chance hitting their target (better than they looked 2 months ago), but even if they dont hit it they will be very close, in worst case 18m+.



zygote on 21 December 2018

Still too early to tell. 



aris4me on 21 December 2018

I think Ninty will make it, it was full of very positive surprises!



manuelogando40 on 21 December 2018

5m april-september
1.2m October
3.1m November
6.5m December
1.4m January
1.1m February
0.8m March
Total: 19,1.
So they will fail in their prediction. But yoy Nintendo Switch will sell 25% more.



"Every day I look in the mirror and ask myself: "If today were the last day of my life, would I want to do what I am about to do today?". If the answer is no for too many days in a row, I know I need to change something"

Steve Jobs

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JRPGfan on 21 December 2018
manuelogando40 said:
5m april-september
1.2m October
3.1m November
6.5m December
1.4m January
1.1m February
0.8m March
Total: 19,1.
So they will fail in their prediction. But yoy Nintendo Switch will sell 25% more.

Seriously doubt Nintendo can sell 6.5m Switch's in december.
At most it ll be like abit above 5m, at worst it ll be barely be over 4m.

That should take your total down to 16,5 to 17,5, which is alot more realistic with how things have been going so far.
Nintendo is going to fall short of those 20m and not just by 1m but by more than that.

If nintendo wanted to do a 20m year, they would have needed to stay well ahead of the PS4 more or less all year round.
Sadly that didnt end up happending, and having unrealistic expectations of the holidays isnt going to fix it.



manuelogando40 on 21 December 2018
JRPGfan said:
manuelogando40 said:
5m april-september
1.2m October
3.1m November
6.5m December
1.4m January
1.1m February
0.8m March
Total: 19,1.
So they will fail in their prediction. But yoy Nintendo Switch will sell 25% more.

Seriously doubt Nintendo can sell 6.5m Switch's in december.
At most it ll be like abit above 5m, at worst it ll be barely be over 4m.

That should take your total down to 16,5 to 17,5, which is alot more realistic with how things have been going so far.
Nintendo is going to fall short of those 20m and not just by 1m but by more than that.

If nintendo wanted to do a 20m year, they would have needed to stay well ahead of the PS4 more or less all year round.
Sadly that didnt end up happending, and having unrealistic expectations of the holidays isnt going to fix it.

3.1m EEUU

1m Japan

2m Europe

0.4 Resto of the world

Total:6.5



"Every day I look in the mirror and ask myself: "If today were the last day of my life, would I want to do what I am about to do today?". If the answer is no for too many days in a row, I know I need to change something"

Steve Jobs

Miyamotoo on 21 December 2018
manuelogando40 said:
JRPGfan said:

Seriously doubt Nintendo can sell 6.5m Switch's in december.
At most it ll be like abit above 5m, at worst it ll be barely be over 4m.

That should take your total down to 16,5 to 17,5, which is alot more realistic with how things have been going so far.
Nintendo is going to fall short of those 20m and not just by 1m but by more than that.

If nintendo wanted to do a 20m year, they would have needed to stay well ahead of the PS4 more or less all year round.
Sadly that didnt end up happending, and having unrealistic expectations of the holidays isnt going to fix it.

3.1m EEUU

1m Japan

2m Europe

0.4 Resto of the world

Total:6.5

Talking about, Japan only last 2 weeks sold 560k units, with this sales it should be at around 900k with one week left that will probably be around 200k, so thats around 1.1m sold units in Japan in December, and ship number will be more than that.



Supermario28 on 21 December 2018

Switch is selling 25.5% more YoY as of 1st of december.
FY2017 shippements were at 15.05 millions so if we add 25.5% it will end up at 18.9 millions as it stands.
The gap is 1.1millions. I think SSBU, NSMBUDX and eventually another game release in Q4 can close this gap.
19.5m is the worst case scenario in my opinion.



Mbolibombo on 21 December 2018
JRPGfan said:
manuelogando40 said:
5m april-september
1.2m October
3.1m November
6.5m December
1.4m January
1.1m February
0.8m March
Total: 19,1.
So they will fail in their prediction. But yoy Nintendo Switch will sell 25% more.

Seriously doubt Nintendo can sell 6.5m Switch's in december.
At most it ll be like abit above 5m, at worst it ll be barely be over 4m.

That should take your total down to 16,5 to 17,5, which is alot more realistic with how things have been going so far.
Nintendo is going to fall short of those 20m and not just by 1m but by more than that.

If nintendo wanted to do a 20m year, they would have needed to stay well ahead of the PS4 more or less all year round.
Sadly that didnt end up happending, and having unrealistic expectations of the holidays isnt going to fix it.

So youre seriously thinking 16.5M is a solid prediction for this? Despite the fact that from the numbers we have so far during the holidays (which is Nintendoes forte) is significantly up compared to last year? Now you're just being silly.

20M is by no means a certain thing, but it's going to be closer to 20 than 16.5 that's 100% certain.