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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 Won March NPD (PS4: 354K, NSW: 308K, XBO: 299K)

peachbuggy on 20 April 2018
quickrick said:
tbone51 said:

Give me your definition of destroyed? Do you think 2:1? Maybe 1.5x more? 

 

We need to kno the answer! Also what is nintendo holiday gamr for Nov? Is pokemon releasing? You seem to know alot about nov when we are pre e3 and over half a year away

Same as 2017

So you are basing this on exactly? At least those you are criticising actually have reasoning behind their predictions, unlike you!



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

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zorg1000 on 20 April 2018
Hiku said:

quickrick said:

sure if you combine everything it looks better, but out of 60 predictions,  i counted like like 48 votes out of 60 i think, that had switch over  by around 800k-1.5 million, to me that is destroying and would basically mean switch has to win almost have to win every npd to achieve this.

Well how about this then?
Rather than only using ambiguous terms like 'destroying' in sales related topics, we try to specify what we mean exactly.

This is pretty much how every argument with him happens, he makes these exaggerated claims like "Switch will fall off a cliff" or "Smash wont be that big" and many posts later clarifies that he actually meant "Switch will be flat YOY" and "Smash will sell under 12 million".



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Metallox on 20 April 2018

Software charts anywhere?



My bet with The_Liquid_Laser: I think the Switch won't surpass the PS2 as the best selling system of all time. If it does, I'll play a game of a list that The_Liquid_Laser will provide, I will have to play it for 50 hours or complete it, whatever comes first. 

zorg1000 on 20 April 2018
peachbuggy said:
quickrick said:

Same as 2017

So you are basing this on exactly? At least those you are criticising actually have reasoning behind their predictions, unlike you!

Ya i have a hard seeing Switch getting "destroyed" in November if Pokemon releases and they have some nice Black Friday bundles.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

quickrick on 20 April 2018
peachbuggy said:
quickrick said:

Same as 2017

So you are basing this on exactly? At least those you are criticising actually have reasoning behind their predictions, unlike you!

I'm basing this off last year november performance where switch had a massive title called mario odyssey, plus pent up demand the whole year, and only did 770k, plus  my prediction that it won't keep momentum.  3ds never saw huge spikes november, so i expect a similar trend. 



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peachbuggy on 20 April 2018
zorg1000 said:
peachbuggy said:

So you are basing this on exactly? At least those you are criticising actually have reasoning behind their predictions, unlike you!

Ya i have a hard seeing Switch getting "destroyed" in November if Pokemon releases and they have some nice Black Friday bundles.

Agreed. Particularly as we have no idea what Nintendo has planned. Could be price cuts, software, bundles etc. That makes it even harder for a non-informed person to make a prediction. Quickrick knows exactly the same as us about Nintendo's plans for the holiday. 

Last edited by peachbuggy - on 20 April 2018

DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

zorg1000 on 20 April 2018
Metallox said:
Software charts anywhere?

Next tuesday



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

peachbuggy on 20 April 2018
quickrick said:
peachbuggy said:

So you are basing this on exactly? At least those you are criticising actually have reasoning behind their predictions, unlike you!

I'm basing this off last year november performance where switch had a massive title called mario odyssey, plus pent up demand the whole year, and only did 770k, plus  my prediction that it won't keep momentum.  

You really have no idea of trends do you? To beat Switch last November, Sony had to drop a pretty substantial price cut. Your prediction of no momentum is based off personal bias only. You have no idea what Nintendo has planned for this holiday, so your prediction is pretty baseless. Don't say i didn't warn you. Lol, you're trying to predict off trends that you know nothing about. Switch is trending nothing like the 3DS. It seems you need these things explained multiple times to you.

Last edited by peachbuggy - on 20 April 2018

DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

zorg1000 on 20 April 2018
quickrick said:
peachbuggy said:

So you are basing this on exactly? At least those you are criticising actually have reasoning behind their predictions, unlike you!

I'm basing this off last year november performance where switch had a massive title called mario odyssey, plus pent up demand the whole year, and only did 770k, plus  my prediction that it won't keep momentum.  

1. Mario released in Oct, obviously its affects crossed over into Nov but the point stands.

2. Last Nov the biggest new release was Skyrim, a year old port of a 6 year old remaster.

3. What if Nov has a huge title this year like Pokemon?

4. What if they have actual black friday deals this year? Last year had no discounts or games bundled.

 

You are once again making definitive claims without having any info to base them on.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

quickrick on 20 April 2018
zorg1000 said:
quickrick said:

I'm basing this off last year november performance where switch had a massive title called mario odyssey, plus pent up demand the whole year, and only did 770k, plus  my prediction that it won't keep momentum.  

1. Mario released in Oct, obviously its affects crossed over into Nov but the point stands.

2. Last Nov the biggest new release was Skyrim, a year old port of a 6 year old remaster.

3. What if Nov has a huge title this year like Pokemon?

4. What if they have actual black friday deals this year? Last year had no discounts or games bundled.

 

You are once again making definitive claims without having any info to base them on.

it's just what i expect to happen and why, my prediction. As for mario is released the last 2-3 days october, so it should carried into november. they will probably drop the price to 250$ or bundle a game, which i don't expect to offer a huge boost.