There is no context 3d mario is a bigger franchise, period. you can say animal crossing can out sell 3d mario, because switch is a handheld, but even then  3d mario still out sells it, but they are very close, but there is no question 3d mario is a bigger franchise. 

Neat, they updated how it looks

The first red dead sold about 10 million units and I can see “some” growth or the opposite but I still think smash will beat it.

20 million for smash. The first time the game is on a hot console with high attach rate. The community is far larger than whatever it was during the Wii era.

Red dead redemption did 15 million units.

And you don't seem to understand what the bigger franchise here actually is. 3D Mario isn't all that big, Nintendo has a lot of series which are bigger than that, among them Animal crossing. Heck, you where saying that GoW4 will outsell Smash easily, even though GoW is a much smaller franchise than Smash with barely half as much sales (and that's being generous, it's 13M to 5M ffs)

Seriously, Nintendo hasn't yet released any of the big guns in terms of sales, save for Splatoon 2 in Japan. Fire Emblem had an enormous growth on the 3DS and became pretty huge, Animal Crossing kept getting bigger, Pokemon always are huge. Compared to any of them a 3D Mario is generally small fry. The reason they aren't in Switch yet is that they are still supporting the 3DS, hence why those teams didn't make the Switch (ha!) yet. Smash could also easily get up there if it can marry the good parts of the 3DS, Wii U, Brawl and Melee parts together, and it has been growing ever since it's inception on the N64.

at bolded that's a pretty silly thing to say and makes 0 sense. smash is a much bigger franchise then GOW, but GOW on ps4 is a totally different beast, and will do over 10 million, i just don't expect smash on switch do over 10 million. 

A franchise that has sold ~5 million in each of its three numbered entries will sell over 10 million but the franchise that has blown past 10 million in its last two entries wont sell 10 million......gotta love the logic there.

Are you seriously saying ports only do well because they were on previous platforms? That's crazy. A game that was purchased by what, 8 million people on one platform would be lucky to sell 8 million on the next. The only reason those games sell really well is because they are great quality games and the system that the ports are sold on is hugely successful. Also you cannot for a single minute think the majority that bought mk8 on wii u bought it on Switch too.

You make it sound like a conspiracy. Lol.

I don't understand how PSN cards can be unavailable though? They are digital thus they cannot run out of stock? Or am I missing something?

SSB only did 10 million on one platform and that was called wii, it not guaranteed to do 10 million on switch.