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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

Symbios63 said:
September Summaries :

2) With Preorders from last months included (177.6 points/day for PS4 ; 39.2 points/day for XBO)

Overall : 1) PS4 : 503.2 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 351.7 points/day (0.70) ; 3) XBO : 226.8 points/day (0.45)

Score another win for this tool!

PS4 takes September with leaked ratios from NPD of around

PS4:  1.00
NS:    0.62
XBO: 0.41

This continues to be extremely accurate tool at not only picking the winner, but also a solid ballpark estimate for the ratios of hardware sold.



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Megiddo said:
Symbios63 said:
September Summaries :

2) With Preorders from last months included (177.6 points/day for PS4 ; 39.2 points/day for XBO)

Overall : 1) PS4 : 503.2 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 351.7 points/day (0.70) ; 3) XBO : 226.8 points/day (0.45)

Score another win for this tool!

PS4 takes September with leaked ratios from NPD of around

PS4:  1.00
NS:    0.62
XBO: 0.41

This continues to be extremely accurate tool at not only picking the winner, but also a solid ballpark estimate for the ratios of hardware sold.

Very nice to see, thanks for sharing.

I was certainly not expecting this tool to work this well... Now let's see if it can handle holyday season as well.



Megiddo said:
Symbios63 said:
September Summaries :

2) With Preorders from last months included (177.6 points/day for PS4 ; 39.2 points/day for XBO)

Overall : 1) PS4 : 503.2 points/day (1.00) ; 2) NS : 351.7 points/day (0.70) ; 3) XBO : 226.8 points/day (0.45)

Score another win for this tool!

PS4 takes September with leaked ratios from NPD of around

PS4:  1.00
NS:    0.62
XBO: 0.41

This continues to be extremely accurate tool at not only picking the winner, but also a solid ballpark estimate for the ratios of hardware sold.

Wow this is very good too see, great job guys. :)



10/19/18 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 23 (-1) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 47 (-3) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 50 (+30) - 399.99$
4 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 54 (-11) - 299.00$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb - 100 (-7) - 481.00$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 52 points (+31) ; XBO : 1 points (-7) ; NS : 106 + 58 + 47 = 211 points (-27)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 25 (+3) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 28 (+2) - 499.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 35 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 39 (-2) - 299.99$
5 (+3) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 44 (+17) - 399.99$
6 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Shadow of the Tomb Raider - 48 (+2) - 499.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 53 (+1) - 299.99$
8 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 55 (-2) - 299.99$
9 (-) - XBox One S NBA 2K19 - 69 (-7) - 299.99$
10 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Starter Bundle - 71 (-7) - 299.99$
11 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 73 (+20) - 359.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 102 + 96 + 64 = 262 points (+34) ; XBO : 56 + 48 + 32 + 30 = 166 points (-9) ; NS : 82 + 74 + 46 + 28 = 230 points (+14)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Bundle - 3 (-)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Red Dead Redemption 2 Bundle - 5 (-)
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Evee! Bundle - 10 (-2) - November 16th
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokémon let's Go Pikachu! Bundle - 12 (+1) - November 16th
5 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Diablo III EC - 13 (-7)
6 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 43 (-14)
7 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb - 69 (-3)
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 81 (+22)
9 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Robot White Fallout 76 - 98 (+6)
10 (-) - Nintendo Switch Fortnite Double Helix Bundle - 118 (-12)
11 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 123 (+23) - November 9th
12 (R) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 196 (R)
13 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 199 (-9)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 200 + 108 + 82 = 390 points (-36) ; XBO : 54 + 1 = 55 points (-) ; NS : 205 + 180 + 70 + 42 + 3 = 500 points (-2)

Overall (with preorders from last months) :

1 - NS : 910.9 points (-20.8) ; Month Average : 777.4 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 603.7 points (-4.4) ; Month Average : 583.3 points/day ; 0.75 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 202.8 points (-9.6) ; Month Average : 272.7 points/day ; 0.35 (-0.01)



Then, preorders count on current month.



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Great tool, keep up this good work. Shaping it to be reeeeally great to NPD finals



Mar1217 said:
Congrats for such accuracy :O

Although now this means, October would be so far in Switch's bag because of bundles.

Should change when RDR2 launches



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Symbios63 said:
Megiddo said:

Score another win for this tool!

PS4 takes September with leaked ratios from NPD of around

PS4:  1.00
NS:    0.62
XBO: 0.41

This continues to be extremely accurate tool at not only picking the winner, but also a solid ballpark estimate for the ratios of hardware sold.

Very nice to see, thanks for sharing.

I was certainly not expecting this tool to work this well... Now let's see if it can handle holyday season as well.

Great job!

You might actually have come up with a better tool than most of this industry's "analysts".



zorg1000 said:
Mar1217 said:
Congrats for such accuracy :O

Although now this means, October would be so far in Switch's bag because of bundles.

Should change when RDR2 launches

That will depend on if Sony can keep the slim/pro well-stocked enough. It seems to be struggle especially around the time of big game releases.



Good work Symbios.