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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

04/27/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 24 (+3) - 299.00$
2 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 28 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 38 (-3) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 80 (+6) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 92 (R) - 206.60$

PS4 : 76 + 21 = 97 points (-) ; XBO : 0 points (-9) ; NS : 104 + 96 = 200 points (+2)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (+2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 7 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 11 (+1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 12 (+2) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 30 (+5) - 249.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 37 (-1) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 42 (-2) - 249.99$
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 62 (-7) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 180 + 160 = 340 points (+10) ; XBO : 92 + 78 + 68 = 238 points (+4) ; NS : 200 + 155 + 39 = 394 points (+13)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 39 (+11)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 82 (-11)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 91 (+1)
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 105 (-8)
5 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 123 (-30)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 155 (+12)
7 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 Black P - 181 (R)
8 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White P - 193 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu + Pokeball - 170 (+24)

PS4 : 70 + 39 = 109 points (-29) ; XBO : 47 + 10 + 4 = 61 points (+7) ; NS : 115 + 60 + 23 = 198 points (+3)

Overall :

1 - XBO : 141.2 points (+0.8) ; Month Average : 658.6 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 436.8 points (+7.2) ; Month Average : 427.2 points/day ; 0.65 (+0.05)
3 - PS4 : 254.6 points (-27.0) ; Month Average : 254.8 points/day ; 0.39 (+0.03)



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Re-tagging...



04/28/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 18 (+6) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 35 (-7) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 41 (-3) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 84 (-4) - 399.99$
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 100 (R) - 206.60$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 70 + 17 = 87 points (-10) ; XBO : 1 points (+1) ; NS : 125 + 82 = 207 points (+7)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 5 (+2) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 10 (+1) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 12 (-) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 27 (+3) - 249.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 33 (+4) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 34 (+8) - 249.99$
8 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 69 (-7) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 165 = 355 points (+15) ; XBO : 98 + 86 + 84 = 268 points (+30) ; NS : 200 + 155 + 32 = 387 points (-7)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 59 (-20)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 74 (+8)
3 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 93 (+30)
4 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 98 (+7)
5 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 104 (-13)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 168 (-13)
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 Black P - 191 (-10)

Out of Top 100 :

8 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 White P - 193 (R)

PS4 : 78 + 58 = 136 points (+27) ; XBO : 54 + 5 = 59 points (-2) ; NS : 92 + 49 + 17 = 158 points (-40)

Overall :

1 - XBO : 147.4 points (+6.2) ; Month Average : 635.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 401.0 points (-35.8) ; Month Average : 426.0 points/day ; 0.67 (+0.02)
3 - PS4 : 276.6 points (+22.0) ; Month Average : 255.8 points/day ; 0.40 (+0.01)



04/30/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 15 (+3) - 299.00$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 37 (-2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 43 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 82 (+2) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 89 (+11) - 206.60$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 66 + 19 = 85 points (-2) ; XBO : 12 points (+11) ; NS : 140 + 78 = 218 points (+11)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 4 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 6 (+4) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 12 (-) - 299.99$
5 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 24 (+9) - 399.99$
6 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 55 (+14) - 399.99$
7 (-2) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 66 (-39) - 299.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 81 (-47) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 195 + 185 = 380 points (+25) ; XBO : 104 + 35 + 20 = 159 points (-109) ; NS : 200 + 155 + 46 = 401 points (+14)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 70 (-11)
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 74 (+19)
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 81 (-7)
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 94 (+10)
5 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 142 (-44)
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 155 (+13)

Out of Top 100 :

7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 Black P - 191 (-10)

PS4 : 78 + 70 = 148 points (+12) ; XBO : 30 points (-29) ; NS : 82 + 58 + 23 = 163 points (+5)

Overall :

1 - XBO : 92.8 points (-54.6) ; Month Average : 590.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 417.6 points (+16.6) ; Month Average : 424.9 points/day ; 0.72 (+0.05)
3 - PS4 : 292.0 points (+15.4) ; Month Average : 258.8 points/day ; 0.44 (+0.04)



Nah, the month ends too early for that unless the Switch gets a big sales boost. But the Switch will come very close in the end.



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05/01/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 13 (+2) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 42 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 44 (-7) - 299.00$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 74 (+8) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 89 (+11) - 206.60$

PS4 : 68 + 27 = 95 points (+10) ; XBO : 0 points (-12) ; NS : 150 + 64 = 214 points (-4)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 3 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 5 (-1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 6 (-) - 399.99$
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 13 (-1) - 299.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 26 (-2) - 399.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 62 (-7) - 399.99$
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 79 (+2) - 299.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 88 (-22) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 190 + 185 = 375 points (-5) ; XBO : 100 + 22 + 13 = 135 points (-24) ; NS : 200 + 150 + 39 = 389 points (-12)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 74 (-4)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 75 (-1)
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 97 (-16)
4 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 102 (-8)
5 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 137 (+18)

Out of Top 100 :

5 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 142 (-44)

PS4 : 76 + 54 = 130 points (-18) ; XBO : 0 points (-30) ; NS : 78 + 50 + 32 = 160 points (-3)

Overall :

1 - XBO : 35.1 points (-60.7) ; Month Average : 568.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 409.0 points (-8.6) ; Month Average : 424.2 points/day ; 0.75 (+0.03)
3 - PS4 : 281.0 points (-11.0) ; Month Average : 259.7 points/day ; 0.46 (+0.02)



Ouch at those XBO numbers, dropped out of both Amazon Top 100 and Gamestop Top 200 now...



05/03/19 :

- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 15 (-2) - 299.00$
2 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 38 (+6) - 299.00$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 39 (+3) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 83 (-9) - 399.99$
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 89 (R) - 206.60$

Out of Top 100 :



PS4 : 74 + 18 = 92 points (-3) ; XBO : 12 points (+12) ; NS : 140 + 76 = 216 points (+2)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 1 (+2) - 299.99$
2 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 5 (+8) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 7 (-2) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 10 (-4) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 24 (+2) - 399.99$
6 (-) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 37 (+25) - 399.99$
7 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 81 (+7) - 299.99$
8 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb The Division 2 - 89 (-10) - 299.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 180 + 165 = 345 points (-30) ; XBO : 104 + 20 + 12 = 136 points (+1) ; NS : 210 + 190 + 78 = 478 points (+89)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 58 (+16)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 73 (+2)
3 (+2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 108 (+29)
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 109 (-12)
5 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Pokemon Let's Go Pikachu - 111 (-9)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 78 + 46 = 124 points (-6) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 94 + 47 + 45 = 186 points (+26)

Overall :

1 - XBO : 47.8 points (+12.7) ; Month Average : 529.1 points/day ; 1.0
2 - NS : 454.4 points (+45.4) ; Month Average : 426.0 points/day ; 0.81 (+0.06)
3 - PS4 : 266.6 points (-14.4) ; Month Average : 260.6 points/day ; 0.49 (+0.03)

NPD april ends tomorrow. This month will be wrong but will be useful for the next, coming soon, "formula twist".



Well, that was an interesting month...

Wonder how the tool will do. It's been excellent so far this year. Well done Symbios.



Heh, if you delete the first 10 days, then the chart looks pretty normal. However duing those first 10-ish days the XB1 has 3-5 times the points of the other two consoles. Somehow I am skeptical that XB1 actually got 3-5 times the sales during those first few days.