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Forums - Sales Discussion - In progress NPD predicting tool

01/15/19 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 12 (+1) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 24 (+2) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 43 (+4) - 299.95$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 77 (+18) - 399.99$
5 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 98 (R) - 319.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 66 + 24 + 3 = 93 points (+29) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 155 + 104 = 259 points (+9)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 4 (-1) - 299.99$
2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 7 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 8 (-3) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 13 (-2) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 37 (+2) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 59 (-2) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 180 + 150 = 330 points (-5) ; XBO : 78 + 42 = 120 points (+2) ; NS : 195 + 175 = 370 points (-20)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 15 (-1)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 45 (-6)
3 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 162 (R) - 399.99$
4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 195 (-58)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 20 = 195 points (+15) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 106 + 3 = 109 points (-35)

Overall :

1 - NS : 390.2 points (-31.8) ; Month Average : 479.5 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 363.4 points (+37.2) ; Month Average : 343.1 points/day ; 0.72 (+0.02)
3 - XBO : 31.2 points (+0.5) ; Month Average : 32.8 points/day ; 0.07 (-)



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PS4 is trying to catch up again



01/16/19 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 12 (-) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 23 (+1) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 44 (-1) - 299.95$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 68 (+9) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

5 (R) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 98 (R) - 319.99$

PS4 : 64 + 33 = 97 points (+4) ; XBO : 0 points (-) ; NS : 155 + 106 = 261 points (+2)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 4 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 6 (+1) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 9 (-1) - 299.99$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 15 (-2) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 41 (-4) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 52 (+7) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 185 + 140 = 325 points (-5) ; XBO : 70 + 49 = 119 points (-1) ; NS : 195 + 170 = 365 points (-5)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 20 (-5)
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 72 (-27)
3 (R) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 182 (-20) - 399.99$

Out of Top 100 :

4 (-1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 195 (-58)

PS4 : 165 + 10 = 175 points (-20) ; XBO : 0 point (-) ; NS : 80 points (-29)

Overall :

1 - NS : 361.8 points (-28.4) ; Month Average : 468.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 345.6 points (-17.8) ; Month Average : 343.3 points/day ; 0.73 (+0.01)
3 - XBO : 31.0 points (-0.2) ; Month Average : 32.6 points/day ; 0.07 (-)



Damn dat XBO Month average is so awfully low it practically can't be correct unless the 3DS outsells it this January.



Switch should win this month, like last year, thanks to momentum from Christmas (and Smash). But compared to december there is going to be a massive drop in january for Switch and XB1.



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globalisateur said:
Switch should win this month, like last year, thanks to momentum from Christmas (and Smash). But compared to december there is going to be a massive drop in january for Switch and XB1.

Why not Sony too?



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

peachbuggy said:
globalisateur said:
Switch should win this month, like last year, thanks to momentum from Christmas (and Smash). But compared to december there is going to be a massive drop in january for Switch and XB1.

Why not Sony too?

Quickrick's cliff doesn't apply to the ps4.



peachbuggy said:
globalisateur said:
Switch should win this month, like last year, thanks to momentum from Christmas (and Smash). But compared to december there is going to be a massive drop in january for Switch and XB1.

Why not Sony too?

Sony will of course be down a lot in January as well.

But I think he means that the percentage drop may be bigger for Switch and XB1 if Benji (US sales insider) is right about Switch being over double PS4 in December AND if the NPD predicting tool is right about PS4 being relatively close to Switch in January.

If XB1 ends up being over PS4 in December and the graph below ends up being close to the final numbers in January, you can see why XB1 would have a "massive drop" compared to PS4.



Replicant said:
peachbuggy said:

Why not Sony too?

Sony will of course be down a lot in January as well.

But I think he means that the percentage drop may be bigger for Switch and XB1 if Benji (US sales insider) is right about Switch being over double PS4 in December AND if the NPD predicting tool is right about PS4 being relatively close to Switch in January.

If XB1 ends up being over PS4 in December and the graph below ends up being close to the final numbers in January, you can see why XB1 would have a "massive drop" compared to PS4.

Oh i see. Fair enough. Still, pretty big drop for all 3 and to be expected too.



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

ironmanDX said:
peachbuggy said:

Why not Sony too?

Quickrick's cliff doesn't apply to the ps4.

XD



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!