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Forums - Sales Discussion - February 2018 NPD predictions thread

 

which console will sell the most

Switch, by a lot 7 11.11%
 
Switch, barely 31 49.21%
 
PS4, by a lot 10 15.87%
 
PS4, barely 7 11.11%
 
XB1, by a lot 3 4.76%
 
XB1, barely 5 7.94%
 
Total:63
JSG87 on 19 March 2018
flashfire926 said:
JSG87 said:

 

What? Lol.

 

I think PS4 will win because monster Hunter, switch will be second and do quite well too and xb1 has been on sale all month more or less.

But monster hunter came out last month. It already recieved over a week of tracking in Janruary NPD. If that couldnt make PS4 win, this month will be no different.

 

You were saying? Ps4 won February. What I wasn't expecting was xb1 to outsell Switch too ✋



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Barkley on 19 March 2018

Wow, almost everyone predicted a switch win, myself included. It wasn't even close apparently. Very unexpected.



Barkley on 19 March 2018

Compiled the average prediction to see how close we were in this thread.

     AVG PS4 Prediction:  309k      NPD:  ~364k   (+55k)    (PS4 sold 18% more than the average prediction)
AVG Switch Prediction:  323k      NPD:  ~280k   (-43k)    (Switch sold 13% less than the average prediction)
    AVG XBO Prediction:  300k      NPD:  ~311k   (+11k)    (XBO Sold 4% more than the average prediction)

Here's all the user predictions ranked, with the combined numerical difference for every console listed afterwards.

1st.     BrittinShicks        25k
2nd.   Welfare                 66k
3rd.    hudsoniscool       83k
4th.    quickrick               87k
5th.    adisababa           105k
6th.    chakkra               105k
7th.    Green098           108k
8th.    Jranation             115k
9th.    Ryng_Tolu           120k
10th.  Jason1637           125k
11th.  Farsala                 143k
12th.  thismeintiel        145k
13th.  tbone51              149k
14th.  JSG87                  150k
15th.  LipeJJ                   155k
16th.  xMetroid             155k
17th.  Stuart23              155k
18th.  VGPolyglot          156k
19th.  Zorg1000             163k
20th.  H3ADShOt3         165k
21st.  Mr. Playstation    168k
22nd. Shadow1980       180k
23rd.  bofferbrauer2     190k
24th.  SWORDF1SH       205k



Pavolink on 19 March 2018

How odd. Swear I posted here.



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


flashfire926 on 19 March 2018
JSG87 said:
flashfire926 said:

But monster hunter came out last month. It already recieved over a week of tracking in Janruary NPD. If that couldnt make PS4 win, this month will be no different.

 

You were saying? Ps4 won February. What I wasn't expecting was xb1 to outsell Switch too ✋

I'll happily eat the crow. Also, looks like monster hunter world maintained its legs through february as well, given that it's #1 this month.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

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reviniente on 19 March 2018

Yoda says: Unexpected, this is. Xbox in second, at least I got right.



chakkra on 19 March 2018
chakkra said:

Ok, let's see if I'm getting better at this.

NS - 330K

ps4 - 320K

X1 -  300K

Well.. well.. well.. at least I got the X1 almost right.  But it looks like Im still not getting any better at this lol

I can't say I'm mad at these results though.  I mean I would have liked a closer battle, but still.

 



zorg1000 on 20 March 2018
BrittinShicks said:
My prediction:

PS4: 350k
XBox: 305k
Switch: 275k

Good job!



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.