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Forums - Gaming - January NPD 2018 predictions thread

 

Predict the winner of the month

Switch, by a lot 22 30.99%
 
Switch, barely 21 29.58%
 
PS4, by a lot 6 8.45%
 
PS4, barely 20 28.17%
 
XB1, by a lot 1 1.41%
 
XB1, barely 1 1.41%
 
Total:71
newwil7l on 03 February 2018
GProgrammer said:
JRPGfan said:

[NSW] 260K
[PS4] 200K
[XB1] 130K

Im not so sure lol.... Amazon has Switch takeing the month.

True, but then again Amazon had Switch winning November 2017, but it ended up getting thrashed heavily by both the PS4 and Xbox One

Why do people keep saying this? Amazon did not have Switch winning November.



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Jranation on 03 February 2018
newwil7l said:
GProgrammer said:

True, but then again Amazon had Switch winning November 2017, but it ended up getting thrashed heavily by both the PS4 and Xbox One

Why do people keep saying this? Amazon did not have Switch winning November.

The thing is. If Switch is ahead of PS4 BY A LOT in Monthly Amazon = Switch wins

 

But if Switch and PS4 are very close = PS4 Wins.

 

November is not a good example beacuse there was a limited PS4 deal



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Jranation on 03 February 2018
GProgrammer said:
JRPGfan said:

[NSW] 260K
[PS4] 200K
[XB1] 130K

Im not so sure lol.... Amazon has Switch takeing the month.

True, but then again Amazon had Switch winning November 2017, but it ended up getting thrashed heavily by both the PS4 and Xbox One

The thing is there was 1 Xbox One and 1 PS4 SKU above both Switch SKU at November.  I think for Switch to win based on amazon, Both Switch SKU needs to be ahead by a wide margin to the nearest PS4 and XB1 SKU. 



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Ryng on 03 February 2018
Shadow1980 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

It's 4 weeks this year.

Next year will be 5 weeks.

It's this year: https://nrf.com/sites/default/files/Documents/4-5-4%20Documents/3%20Year%20Calendar%2017-19%20Not%20Restated.pdf

 

Oh, and I should probably put my predictions down while I'm at it:

Switch: 250k
PS4: 225k
XBO: 175k

Not according to NPD.

The track is from December 31 to January 27. So is an usual 4 weeks month for NPD. Next year January NPD will have 5 weeks.



RoboTin on 03 February 2018

hardware impact section should have xbox one s 199$ half a month maybe?



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Stuart23 on 03 February 2018

[NSW] 270k
[PS4] 235k
[XBO] 130k

Last edited by Stuart23 - on 03 February 2018

Switch Friend Code: SW - 1286-0025-9138

Ryng on 03 February 2018
Shadow1980 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

Not according to NPD.

The track is from December 31 to January 27. So is an usual 4 weeks month for NPD. Next year January NPD will have 5 weeks.

Source? Historically they've followed the NRF's calendar.

Both Welfare and Donny said is 4 weeks... i honestly have some doubts now :-/



Ryng on 03 February 2018
Shadow1980 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

Both Welfare and Donny said is 4 weeks... i honestly have some doubts now :-/

Either they just forgot, or the NPD is no longer following the NRF's calendar. Considering they've done the latter since the 90s, I don't see any reason for them to stop. I'm inclined to think Welfare and Donny are simply in error.

EDIT: More proof the NPD follows the NRF calendar:

https://www.npd.com/wps/portal/npd/us/news/press-releases/pr_090212/
http://www.gtdc.org/NPD.pdf (see footnote on page 10)

Looks like they stopped.

Results are out for subscribers in February 8. No way results are so close with the weekly data, indeed it always release 2 weeks later.



thismeintiel on 03 February 2018

Switch - 250K
PS4 - 210K
XBO - 150K



 

Jigsawx1 on 03 February 2018

[XB1] 220K

[PS4] 190K

[NSW] 180K