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Forums - Nintendo - Predict Shipments by end of Year! SMO/BotW/MKD8/Splat2 (All the 5mil+ sellers!)

Mbolibombo on 07 December 2017

Expecting MK8DX to come out on top, passing Zelda. I think both will have passed 6M at the end of December.





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XD84 on 07 December 2017

I think the 5 millions of each of this titles shipped until 2017 is realistic.



XD84 on 07 December 2017
Pinkie_pie said:
And all of them are nintendo titles. Lets see if a 3rd party game can sell 5 mil on the switch. Ps4 i believe has many 3rd party titles that sell over 5 mil

The Switch owners buy their games instead of the 3rd party publishers. Therefore Nintendo makes not only a lot of money off the Switch but also with their games.



tbone51 on 07 December 2017
XD84 said:
I think the 5 millions of each of this titles shipped until 2017 is realistic.

5mil? 6mil seems to be the floor with mk8d/botw at least imo



zorg1000 on 07 December 2017
Mar1217 said:
MK8DX, SMO and Zelda will all have reached 6M by the end of this year, Splatoon 2 will be hanging around the 4.5M mark

Splatoon should be higher, it was 3.61 at the end of September.



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tbone51 on 07 December 2017
Mar1217 said:
MK8DX, SMO and Zelda will all have reached 6M by the end of this year, Splatoon 2 will be hanging around the 4.5M mark

Nah, japan will probably sell another 400k alone this month imo. Might not hit 6mil but 5mil i think



NintendoPie on 07 December 2017
tbone51 said:
Im going to go the F-ing Optimistic tbone way! Lol

SMO: 9.51mil

Is this founded on any sort of realism or just optimism? If you have reason to believe this number then I'd like to hear it.



Wyrdness on 07 December 2017

5m across the board with the exception of BOTW I'd put that at 6m for the NS version.



StuOhQ on 07 December 2017

I'm going to guess Zelda and MK are neck and neck with MK8 (maybe) sneaking past it:

BotW: 5.7m
MK8D: 5.8m
Splat2: 4.6m
SMO: 6.2

Mario has already passed Zelda in several markets (Japan, UK, etc.) and I think will have passed it altogether by the end of the year.

With these positive numbers for first party, I think there's a good chance we'll see some million sellers from third parties this year. 2018 could even have a 2m third-party seller (which is starting to become the baseline for larger studios to invest in a console).



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tbone51 on 07 December 2017
NintendoPie said:
tbone51 said:
Im going to go the F-ing Optimistic tbone way! Lol

SMO: 9.51mil

Is this founded on any sort of realism or just optimism? If you have reason to believe this number then I'd like to hear it.

Bit of both tbh. Lets start.......

 

First off, SM 3D Land on 3ds shipped 5mil on 3ds (good comparison as its first year on market) in its first year. In japan its ahead as well as everywhere else.

 

Next BotW on switch is at 4.7mil. That on a 7.5mil+ install base. If switch hits 14mil then i believe botw can actually hit 7mil (switch only) alone. I also think SMO will sell higher.

 

Last but not least, the game in a more realistic prediction seems like itll ve around 7mil mark. Its not that impossible for it to be over 9mil. With switch at an estimate 14mil shipped (most will be sold out) i think ship+digital smo can get close to 75% of that