What? Lmao. That wasn't SHADOW's prediction. That was other people's predictions. All he said was who cares about their predictions which ... you know ... is what any analyst would do? Just because people overshot their predictions doesn't mean Shadow, who posted a reasonable one, should have to claim responsibility. 

You are hilarious.

Hell, Mario Kart Wii is #96 right now in the hourly best-sellers chart on Amazon, and New SMB Wii is at #146. They just keep selling despite closing in on a decade old. No wonder they both pulled over 30 million copies.

A lot of people grossly overestimated how well the Switch would do. I've seen a lot of 400k+ predictions both here and on ResetEra, some even over 500k and 600k. I have no idea why in the hell anyone would think the Switch would sell that damn much in a 4-week month, given that at best Super Mario has a modest effect on hardware sales. Someone must have been misinterpreting some prior LTD sales estimate. NPD had the Switch at a bit over 2.32M at the end of September, and that news report from a couple of weeks ago said the Switch was at "over 2.6 million" at the end of October, meaning the Switch would have to have sold somewhere in the 275k to 375k range in October, with a reasonable assumption that the actual number was at the low to mid end of the range. As it turns out, it was towards the lower end. Anybody that estimated anything 400k or more was either unaware of that news report, or had no idea where the Switch was at the end of September.

My own prediction was one of the most conservative out of all the estimates I've seen, overestimating the actually tally by only about 11-13% (assuming sales of 295k ±3k), not too far outside any reasonable margin of error (and when we're just guessing, a MoE of 10% isn't unreasonable). I was assuming the first three weeks of October would retain the 63k/week average of September, with SMO driving the fourth week to about 2 to 2.5 times the aforementioned 63k/week average, putting it in the 315 to 346.5k range. I split the difference down the middle and guessed 330k. Either SMO didn't give as big of a boost as I thought, or weekly sales for the first three weeks declined a bit from the September average.

So, while a lot of people may have been far, far off the mark, the sales themselves when viewed purely on their own relative to other systems and the Switch's own prior sales are not unimpressive. They are actually quite good, even if SMO wasn't a massive system-seller.

I'm not going to defend Shadow but I seem to remember him and this new user butting heads since yesterday so I'm sure your basic analysis is leaving out quite a bit of context. I'm not going to apologize for saying 'lmao' on the internet especially when I'm not pretending to be an academic or a master debater. That's generally something anyone says when they can't take what they're reading seriously, which unfortunately is the case in this scenario. Shadow already made a reasonable reply to you, instead of acting like he doesn't exist go talk to him yourself.  

More Mario numbers for reference:

Sunshine: 350k
Galaxy 2: 564k
New SMB Wii: 1.39M
New SMB U: 243k
3D World: 215k

Mario games are more like slow-burners, gaining their impressive sales over the long haul rather than blowing their wad month-one with huge launches and then having weak legs like so many other big AAA games do. Galaxy and Odyssey had by far the best launches of any 3D Mario game, but a million copies isn't exactly record-breaking. That being said, I do think SMO has the capacity to sell over 10 million copies lifetime. SM64 and Galaxy 1 are the best-selling 3D Mario games for home consoles, and they both sold over 11 million.

No, it's something someone says when they're upset at something but try to make light of it.

And I was going to reply to him but since he said he'll ignore me, there's no point