You should also consider that as Switch gains more traction, then it will get more games, which will gain more adoption in EU. It depends on what games are going to come next. Nobody knows, but they will come. This adoption rate is not static nor is it predetermined.

So, how many switches will they sell for Mario week, in Japan? 100k? 150k?

Since thedemand is far from met, its hard to say.Mario will obviously push consoles, but the console will also be sold due to the demand alone.Having said that, since it is the launch of the most iconic charachter of the industry, and that we are now entering the holiday season, I think it will sell at least 150k.(that week alone)

Yeah, that's what I meant. Nintendo brought out 100k switches for Splatoon, but the baseline has increased considerably as well, so I could see up to 200k for the week. That's something that the Amazon ranking seems to be supporting.

Also, perhaps, 350k-400k for the month, US?

Easily.Given how well its performing on Amazon, and again, its the release of their most iconic charachter, it will reach 400k easily in my opinion.Might be even more!

Easily.Given how well its performing on Amazon, and again, its the release of their most iconic charachter, it will reach 400k easily in my opinion.Might be even more!

more than the 400k mark would be insane. If you are talking about 450-500k, that's not gonna happen. I mean, they could even sell 600k if the stock is enough, but is just not the case.

But yes, 400k looks like a realistic prediction for the month.

They shipped over 70k during FE Warriors week, an underperformed game.

For Mario Odyssey we'll probabily see 120-150k, definitively more than what we saw with Splatoon. Back in July, the stock situation was very bad, now it's much better than that.

Why not?First of all, Switch demand has not yet been met in the US.It had gotten much better, but Nintendo is still working hard to get it to where it needs.So there is bigger potential than what it did a couple months past.And as we have been seeing on amazon, it seems that the Switch has gotten a bigger shipment this month, at least for amazon.But most importantly of all, Switch biggest game yet is going to be released later this year(there is an argument to say that BOTW could actually be THE game, but thats another discussion), so I imagine Nintendo wants to put out as many Switches as it can to match up to the release of said game.And last but not least, we will be entering the holiday season as we approach the end of October, which could see an increase on the units of hardware shipped for this fact alone.

The only problem I can see with this is that Mario launches at the very end of October, and that most of its sales influence(and in a wish to not cause the drought of Switches through November) might be diluted through the next month.But while I can see that around 400k might the most likely scenario, I dont think that 500k is unlikely.I still think its a matter of how much stock Nintendo is able to make.

This is not the time for the stock explosion yet, that's the point. Now that Mario is there, is time for a BIG shipments, that's for sure, but Nintendo most likely want a huge Black friday and December.

They probabily want enough stock for a twice 1 million month in both November and December.

500k is not impossible, but it would be absolutely HUGE.