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Nautilus said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

more than the 400k mark would be insane. If you are talking about 450-500k, that's not gonna happen. I mean, they could even sell 600k if the stock is enough, but is just not the case.

But yes, 400k looks like a realistic prediction for the month.

Why not?First of all, Switch demand has not yet been met in the US.It had gotten much better, but Nintendo is still working hard to get it to where it needs.So there is bigger potential than what it did a couple months past.And as we have been seeing on amazon, it seems that the Switch has gotten a bigger shipment this month, at least for amazon.But most importantly of all, Switch biggest game yet is going to be released later this year(there is an argument to say that BOTW could actually be THE game, but thats another discussion), so I imagine Nintendo wants to put out as many Switches as it can to match up to the release of said game.And last but not least, we will be entering the holiday season as we approach the end of October, which could see an increase on the units of hardware shipped for this fact alone.

The only problem I can see with this is that Mario launches at the very end of October, and that most of its sales influence(and in a wish to not cause the drought of Switches through November) might be diluted through the next month.But while I can see that around 400k might the most likely scenario, I dont think that 500k is unlikely.I still think its a matter of how much stock Nintendo is able to make.

This is not the time for the stock explosion yet, that's the point. Now that Mario is there, is time for a BIG shipments, that's for sure, but Nintendo most likely want a huge Black friday and December.

They probabily want enough stock for a twice 1 million month in both November and December.

500k is not impossible, but it would be absolutely HUGE.