Rain2 said: I mean, it depends on how you look at it I guess. As a few already pointed out, the same people had both a Wii U and 3DS. I know some people (including myself) who bought 2+ 3DS due to new models. We won't ever have official numbers but the Nintendo user base could only be 65 Million rather than 75 Million already. If it's about being sustainable, I think a user base of 30 Million would already be enough considering they make a ton of money on games. Their developed software sells so well, I don't think they have to reach a huge user base number to be profitable to the point of being worth it. 3DS & Wii U made little money (if any) on hardware at the beginning, Switch should already be making profit without considering software. For the sake of argument though, I think anything under 50 Million will look bad on the surface. (if 3DS truly gets no successor) Looking bad and being an actual failure are different things however. |
And there were customers who had both the WII and DS which contributed greatly to Nintendo's revenue and profits but the Switch doesn't get that same benefit. Owning the same system multiple times also doesn't help sell their software either ...
Having a user base of 30M would be a disaster for a big company such as Nintendo itself who has to make the vast majority of their own AAA games to move their hardware. That could be acceptable if only one platform what doing that but it's just bad performance if it's their only system ... (Plus there's nothing stopping that number from dropping even further either.)
It's just not healthy for Nintendo's business to keep declining like that ...