ok, i think my guess was to low, i think 500,000-800,000 WW

250k japan
350k europe
500k america

If were counting worldwide too

JP- 200k
NA- 600k
EU- 400k

Japan 375k-400k
America 725k-825k
Others 525k-625k

I predicted 385k first week in Japan, but that may be a bit on the high side now that I think about it.

WW i reckon first week sales in the range of 850k to 1 million. Japan I reckon will do betwen 260k-320k.

Well Japan is pretty simple at least on getting a good guestimate. It's Europe and America that are really hard as you really don't know if it'll have a good opening week or just at title that sales its opening week over a course of 2-3 weeks and has good legs.

So Japan will be about 400k first week with some good legs. My guess on Europe is normally titles like that sell better on its second week which is kinda weird. But I would say 300k in Europe first week. And considering just how America and Wii are big right now I'll say around 600k for America. So:

Japan: 400k
Europe: 300k
America: 600k
Total 1st Wk: 1.3 million

Second week sales shouldn't drop off too much as the title should have decent legs considering the GC and DS versions. So I'd say second week will probably have around 700k-800k worldwide as well seeing minimal dropoff in Europe and only halving in Japan and America.

My Europe numbers are higher then what most say because Mario Kart is the biggest release on the Wii so far here, no competition from SSBB in the living room.


Japan 450k
Europe 650k
NA 800k

500k japan
450k erurope
800k NA

I think most people are too high on this one.

Japan: 300k
Others: 300k
NA: 450k