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Forums - Nintendo - Miyamoto: Switch could have a longer lifespan than 5 years

 

How long will the Nintendo Switch's lifespan be?

4 Years 33 15.87%
 
5 Years 25 12.02%
 
6 Years 70 33.65%
 
7 Years 34 16.35%
 
8 Years 16 7.69%
 
9 Years 3 1.44%
 
10 Years 27 12.98%
 
Total:208
Cobretti2 on 09 June 2017

well i may as well get the switch soon there. was hoping they do a revision sooner. but with 5year + vision no way it will come out till say 2020.



 

 

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Spindel on 09 June 2017
bigjon said:
Going by when they launched next gen not by when they stopped supporting it.

NES 6 years 85-91

You do know that the Famicom (witch is a NES) came out in 83.

 

So 8 years for that system.



malistix1985 on 09 June 2017

Seems logical if they do small upgrades like they did with the 3ds, the hardware from a portable aspect is more advanced then the 3ds was when it came out, so sure.




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Platina on 09 June 2017

Hopefully, the Wii U's life was cut short so if there isn't a need to end the Switch, it would be nice to see it last at least 5 years



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The_Yoda on 09 June 2017
Soundwave said:
bigjon said:
Going by when they launched next gen not by when they stopped supporting it.

NES 6 years 85-91
SNES 5 years 91-96 (tech was evolving way more rapidly in that period)
N64 5 years 96 to 2001
Gamecube 5 years 2001 to 2006
Wii 6 years 2006 to 2012
WiiU 5 years 2012-2017 (really 4.5, fall launch for WiiU, early spring launch for Switch)

So basically every Nintendo console has gotten about 5 years min, even the ones with weaker sales (GC and WiiU)
Only the 2 consoles that had dominating success(when WiiU launched Wii still had a massive lead over PS360, they had started narrowing the lead at that point, but it was really 2013-14 when PS360 were still selling great and Wii pretty much stopped that they pulled to a respectable distance) got 6 full years before a successor.

So that said, basically Shiggy is saying he see Switch possibly being a NES/Wii like success and thus would get 6 years maybe before a successor.

Nintendo has been remarkable consistent with this. Unlike MS which gave Xbox like 4 years, 360 like 8 years and now is releasing a console that is probably double the power of the XB1 4 years later (even though it is "same gen")

The difference between 5 and 6 year is immaterial, it's not really worth mentioning. 

I think he's speaking of a much larger difference than that. Think 8/9/10 years and more of an ecosystem, not just a singular hardware. 

It's not the 80s/90s anymore, every industry eventually changes. 

Every industry changes huh ...  try telling that to the whores



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Airaku on 09 June 2017

Yeeeeeeaaaaaahhhh... The only way I can see that happening is if Nintendo passes it off as a handheld down the line and introduces another "Home console" or they are going through with that SCD rumor.

Or this becomes an indie/handheld safe haven with only Nintendo titles and almost no AAA third party support.


Not hating on the Switch. I love mine, I just don't see the longevity with it.




Miyamotoo on 09 June 2017

Interesting, most likely it will have similar life span like and more iterations and revisions like DS or 3DS, so we are talking about 6-7 years life span.



Miyamotoo on 09 June 2017
Soundwave said:

March 2017 - Switch (Tegra X1 1/3 a XBox One performance)

Fall 2020 - Switch Pro (Tegra X3 PS4 tier performance)

Fall 2023 - Switch 4K (Tegra X5, Scorpio tier performance)

Yeah I could see that, various models built around above chipset configs.

Too much power for just revisons, I don't think Miyamoto have something that on mind, that Switch Pro with PS4 tier performance would be most likely be Switch 2.

But like we wrote before, Switch Pro (1080p screen, probably bigger screen, with docked performance in handheld mode) with and Switch Mini (around 4-5" 720p screen with stronger battery) with Tegra x2 is probably what will be Switch revisions.

 

 

jonathanalis said:
Soundwave said:

March 2017 - Switch (Tegra X1 1/3 a XBox One performance)

Fall 2020 - Switch Pro (Tegra X3 PS4 tier performance)

Fall 2023 - Switch 4K (Tegra X5, Scorpio tier performance)

Yeah I could see that, various models built around above chipset configs.

knowing nintendo, id bet in something a little diferent.

In 2020 a switch version using x2, but with the same size and power of regular switch. With a few changes: 1080p screen, and portable mode with the same performance as regular switch dock mode. Optionaly, the user could set to batery save mode, that would slow the clock and perform like regular switch, bt with 50% more batery life.

In such way, the development would be the same, targeting reglar and dock mode regular switch. Also regular switch could still run every game, giving a full 7 to 8 years support to the regular switch. Nintendo showed a not sucessful experience with new 3DS excusives. Is better every switch being able to run every upcoming switch game.

Agree, I would just add and Switch Mini, around 4-5" 720p screen with strong battery, just for handheld play, with lower price point. Maybe even Switch just for home console play.

 

Soundwave said:
I think he's speaking more than just "an extra year or two". A 5 year versus 6 year cycle is not really that different. 

5 year versus a 9 year cycle ... now that's different.

I was thinking about 6-7 years life span similar like DS and 3DS, last few their home consoles had lifespan around 5 years.



vivster on 09 June 2017

Well if that doesn't assure everyone.



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Louie on 09 June 2017

It's Miyamoto, nothing to see here, really. Miyamoto will say whatever he wants but he's not making these decisions in the company anymore. Of course, the Switch could have a longer life-span than 5 years. But certainly not based on what Miyamoto wants.