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Forums - Nintendo - Mario Kart 8 Deluxe sales predictions

PEEPer0nni on 02 April 2017

2017: 3.8 M
LT: 6.5 M

And i expect MK9 to release on holidays 2019. Why? It's Nintendo's most popular franchise and the best way to generate interest in the Switch during a possible PS5 release that i predict will happen in  Q4 2019.



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monocle_layton on 02 April 2017

It will obviously be one of the lowest selling Mario Karts, but I think it'll still do well enough to get 5 million at the least.

I think MK9 will be the better selling game by a long shot



Shadowcat on 02 April 2017
Wyrdness said:
I have a feeling the won't be a MK9 on switch and instead MK8D will get significant DLC packs. 3m in the first year and maybe 8m life time provided the isn't MK9.

Exactly this. This is the Mariokart for Switch and you'll see DLC announced in the next year. As for sales - the question is really how many Switch units are sold. The Switch launch so far is comparable to the Wii U launch! We all know that zero third party support and terrible marketing killed that one otherwise MK8 would have had twice the sales.



Bofferbrauer on 02 April 2017

1.2M First week

4M first year

14M LT

Shadowcat said:
Wyrdness said:
I have a feeling the won't be a MK9 on switch and instead MK8D will get significant DLC packs. 3m in the first year and maybe 8m life time provided the isn't MK9.

Exactly this. This is the Mariokart for Switch and you'll see DLC announced in the next year. As for sales - the question is really how many Switch units are sold. The Switch launch so far is comparable to the Wii U launch! We all know that zero third party support and terrible marketing killed that one otherwise MK8 would have had twice the sales.

I doubt it. MK8 Deluxe is already MK8 with it's (quite expansive) DLC AND new things to boot. So I don't think there will be any DLC coming for this game and the devs will switch (ha!) to the development of MK9 afterwards

As for the launch of the Switch and the Wii U, they aren't comparable at all. While overall numbers are similar for the first month, the Wii U was already available on the shelves after it's second week while the Switch is very supply constrained, and that's with the Wii U launching during the holiday season which gives a massive boost to sales.



Wyrdness on 02 April 2017
Captain_Yuri said:
Did polygon make a prediction yet? lul

They're probably still busy banning people who pointed out how wrong they were.



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NintendoPie on 02 April 2017

Slightly less than MK8 and more than anything Wright "predicts."

MK8 DX won't be the only Mario Kart on the Switch.



camilosanchez16 on 02 April 2017

Depends on how well the Switch sells, but at this level, I see it outselling MK8 just for the simple fact that Switch users doesn't have anything more to play. 10M.



TorterraBoy on 02 April 2017

9m



se7en7thre3 on 02 April 2017

Deluxe might outselll Wii U's version, but its ceiling wont be much higher.

After that Im guessing there wont be a MK9, instead Ninty will pull a M$ and go straight to Mar10 Kart. IMO they will avoid the number "9" title to symbolize a refresh or rebirth of sorts. a simple Mario Kart Switch would suffice.



Podings on 02 April 2017

Having sold as little as it has, and being as well reviewed and adored as it is, I think there is a HUGE crowd out there wanting to get their hands on this.

I'm predicting a 15M+ lifetime here.

First year will be 4-5M. Even if 12 million systems make it out before the holidays, many will go to diehard fans that already played MK8 to death.