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Wyrdness said:
I have a feeling the won't be a MK9 on switch and instead MK8D will get significant DLC packs. 3m in the first year and maybe 8m life time provided the isn't MK9.

Exactly this. This is the Mariokart for Switch and you'll see DLC announced in the next year. As for sales - the question is really how many Switch units are sold. The Switch launch so far is comparable to the Wii U launch! We all know that zero third party support and terrible marketing killed that one otherwise MK8 would have had twice the sales.