Did you not play the first game, or do you just need geography lessons?

Damascus, Jerusalem, and Acre. So modern day Syria and Israel

Two things:

1: Rogue was a half-assed game which brought absolutely nothing new to the table, and was just a cheap final cash-in for old-gen systens.

2:Rogue was more reminiscent of AC3, not AC4, 

with the same setting and all.

There is no way Rogue counts as a sequel to Black flag IMO

Ubisoft doesn't have so many AAA games, at least currently, and with Ghost Recon Wildlands launching this March, they need a big game later his year.

I think that game will be a new Assassin's Creed.

Not new, but they further improved naval combat. However playing as a Templar and killing Assassins was definitely a new thing (and no Haytham doesn't count as we only learn much later that he's a Templar and we're not actively fightig against Assassins either).

I stopped caring about AC after first one, I had to force myself to finish ACII. I played Black Flag recently and all I can say is...oh dear.

I really, really hope they will do something new with the IP if they're getting influenced by Witcher, I really liked potential of the first one, but when it comes to Ubi, I'm keeping my expectations in check.

I got bored off ass greed years ago. But if they made it more rpg like then id probably take a look :P

They are releasing that "For Honour"  game in March aswell.  I think thats AAA. 

Yeah, I expect we'll see an Assassin's Creed this year.

True.

But they still need a proper AAA game for the October-November period and then X-mas.