Actually you are really close to the mark but expect higher Wii numbers.

My numbers:

Wii: Around 32.5m - 33.5m at the end of October at current pace. And based on last year and its current pace it will do about 7.6m during Nov + Dec. Year end: 40.1m - 41.1m.

PS3: Around 16.5m - 17.5m at the end of October at current pace. And based on last year and its current pace it will do about 4.2m during Nov + Dec. Year end: 20.7m - 21.7m.

360: Around 21.6m - 22.6m at the end of October at current pace. And based on last year and its current pace it will do about 3.6m during Nov + Dec. Year end: 25.2m - 26.2m.

Keep in mind these numbers are based on projections purely from how the consoles are doing now to determine sales through October and sales now in relation to last year to determine Holiday sales. Things can change and I'm not saying these are absolutes. Furthermore these numbers are heavily based on some of the slowest gaming months of the year so they are likely low.

Conlusion: All of your projections are reasonable, but its worth noting that your PS3 projection is your only projection on the high side of the current pacing.

offtopic: Don't take this the wrong way, I'm not trying to imply anything, you just got me thinking was all. I would love to do a study where each person was asked to rate how much they like each console from 0 to 10 and then give them some basic sales data and ask them to make a 1 year projection based on that data. Then correlate the projections to how they rated the consoles in the beginning and find out how much a like or dislike can bias a projection. Everyone has biases of varying severities so it would be rather interesting indeed.

Hmm... yeah.

You Wii may be a touch too low, and 360 may be a touch too high, but your PS3 is just right. [Wow, that sounded exactly like Goldilocks].

I think that there is a small possibility that PS3 may beat the XBOX 360 by the end of the year.

Personnally :

31 décembre 2008


Wii :

Japan = 9.5 millions
America = 19 millions
Others = 14 millions

Total : 43.5 millions

Millions sellers : Mario Kart Wii , Smash Bros Brawl , Wii Fitt ,Final Fantasy CC etc ...

360 :

Japan = 0.8 million
America = 17 millions
Others = 9 millions

Total : 26.8 millions

Millions sellers : Halo Wars , GTA IV ,Resident Evil 5 ,Fable 2 , Devil May Cry 4(?) , Burnout Paradise , Alan Wake (?) , Lost Odyssey (?) ,

PS3 :

Japan = 4 millions
America = 7.5 millions
Others = 8.5 millions

Total : 20 millions






It was my prediction the 31st December of 2007 but it could be less for the Wii thanks to the shipments problem which continue in the US ...

@Sqrl
Thanks for you input really enjoyed reading it :)

@DMeisterJ

HAHah made me laugh

@sqrl

you must keep in mind PS3 is seeing a 200% increase in worldwide sales so the Holidays should be almost double last years if not x1.5 of last year

hey white...who ended up being closer to the numbers you or DM?

u know i dunno i think they come up really soon

im pretty sure you won