I like to still believe that it will be released some day. I mean, it's been known for a while now that Valve is and has been working on stuff for a while, mainly VR but there have been enough leaks out there to basically confirm that Left 4 Dead 3 is being worked on currently by Valve. Plus they released Source 2 officially not too long ago as their brand new engine.
If Left 4 Dead 3 sees release in this day and age by Valve I expect Half Life 3 will too. If anything Left 4 Dead 3 will probably make people even more angrier at Valve to see that game get a 3 sooner than Half Life does.