Soundwave said:I read the OP, aging population doesn't explain everything, Japan had an aging population 8-9 years ago too.
Also I've been to Japan and spent several weeks there.
The market is having demographic issues sure, but it's also seeing a massive migration over to mobile smartphone gaming. There is no doubt about it, Japan is the biggest app market for games in the world, bigger than the US, even though it has like 1/3 the population. And people here play on their mobiles a lot, so that tells you how crazy Japan is for smartphone games.
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You know, when you look at the handheld gaming market, it's been in decline for a long time already, while the situation a decade ago was more like an exeption. I think somebody already addressed this in the thread. Problem eith the OP is the limited timeframe that misses the big picture.
This, by all means does not mean increased competition did not have any effect, just that it's not the "real reason" behind the market decline.
Also, the topic was about why Japan is in decline, not why the gaming market was in decline.
Norris2k said:
I'm not sure exactly what is the demographic of mobile player on average in Japan, but I can say for sure that in my previous company we were making a few hundred million dollars a year from highly paying users (hundreds or even thousand dollar a month per user, I've seen a guy spending 4000$ one month). I tend to believe that the market "migration" is not as much a migration than a very high monetization rate from a much more small, older, single people crowd (highly paid or leaving at their parent's home).
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I believe Supercell have said the same thing, that there's roughly "a handful" of customers that are paying thousands of Euros a month playing Clash of Clans, while the rest is paying virtually nothing. The point is, that if you want to stay on top, you need to buy the gems - and who uses the most gems is likely the top guy in the world.
This is like the WOW gold trade a decade ago, just that the devs have figured outthe way monetise the in-game currency trade.
Ka-pi96 said:
Since nobody else has called you out for these lies yet...
`Japan has no immigration policy` Lie! They do most certainly have an immigration policy, just like every other country in the world. Them not taking in refugees from the middle east (and why the fuck should they anyway?) doesn`t mean they haven`t got an immigration policy. In fact choosing to not take any in itself would be by definition part of an immigration policy.
`Even when an outsider does become a citizen, they're restricted on many freedoms everyone else has` Proove it! Name these freedoms!
`if your parents aren't of Japanese heritage - you're forbidden from running for any political position.` Lie! There aren`t many non-Japanese politicians, but they most certainly do exist. Take Martti Turunen for example. He was born in Finland with no Japanese heritage at all. Yet immigrated to Japan, acquired citizenship and not only ran for a political position but attained one too.
`if you don't look Japanese, expect blatant racism on a daily basis` Lie! Having lived here for about 4 months now and neither personally experienced nor seen any racism of any kind I can easily say that that is a lie.
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Japanese immigration policy starts with integration. They want you to integrate into Japanese society before having "full" rights, instead of multiculturalism (that's just a different word for anarchism). So yes, no racism here.
Because of the integration, Martti Turunen changed his name to a Japanese one, Marutei Tsurunen, in order to participate politics.