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Forums - Nintendo - I flew too close to the 1TF sun and my Switch wings melted.

I think what we're also forgetting : 13 million isn't indicitave of all the Nintendo fans in the world. Not only does that include a few million sales in casuals(during 2014), but that also includes only a fraction of Nintendo's entire fanbase. There ARE people who are nintendo fans that skipped on the Wii U



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spemanig said:
curl-6 said:

The gamers who play multiplatform games have little reason to buy them on Switch when PS4/Xbone offer the same games with better graphics, better online infrastructure, thriving userbases, and most of their friends.

Of course they do. Not being tethered to the TV. The main selling point and the reason the Switch video was viewed 22m times on Youtube.

First, graphics don't matter, especially if the Switch is cheaper. Second, we know nothing about the Switch's online infrastructure. XBO has a better online than PS4. PS4 beat out XBO. No reason Switch's can't be better than what's come before on Nintendo platforms, and its free.

Switch can get a thriving userbase too and people can play with their friends on the Switch. I never understood this logic. We literally saw people drop Xbox for Playstation this generation, but people still think that people are that brand loyal that they'd never play on another platform. We literally see people switch from userbases of 80m to userbases of 3m during genrational jumps, but people think it can't happen with the Switch.

There was a combined installed base of 160m PS360 owners last gen, save for some overlap. We haven't even reached half of that yet, meaning there are potentially 85m consumers yet to upgrade, yet it's somehow unsurmountable that Switch can make that up when we've literally seen underdogs do it before against worse numbers with the PS4.

Here's a crazy thought: What if most of their friends buy/end up buying a Switch?

I think you're massively overestimating the appeal of Switch. Console type games on the go was tried with the Vita, it's not a big selling point.

Switch stands with one foot in the console red ocean and another in the mobile red ocean. It can't beat its competitors in either, so it's best shot is to try to just carve out enough of a share of the two to scrape by.



AngryLittleAlchemist said:
curl-6 said:

The gamers who play multiplatform games have little reason to buy them on Switch when PS4/Xbone offer the same games with better graphics, better online infrastructure, thriving userbases, and most of their friends.

Better online infrastructure? Do you have the patents for the Switch online infrastructure?

The console with most of their friends? Did your friends recieve their Playstations and Xbox's before their release? 

Better graphics? Xbox seems to have pretty good third party support...

Ok sorry for being a little bit of a cocky smart ass.  But you get what I mean. That isn't an infallable argument, but there is some truth behind it. It really depends on HOW MUCH you're sacrificing with the Switch. We can sit here all day and talk about graphics, but what we do know is that for the first time in a long time Nintendo is using a "gimmick" that will benefit hardcore gamers and casual gamers alike. A gimmick that doesn't change the game or hell even the method of control. Something that is so perfect in that it's innovation is not innovating the console but it's portions. 

People are talking about the Switch a lot. It's a fact. As for Online infrastructure, we don't know. What i'm guessing is that online games are going to do worse on Switch, but RPGs are going to do fantastically. I'm also guessing indies will flock to switch. I'm a bit worried that the Switch is actually TOO powerful for some  of the exclusively DS developers, but they'll probably move to phones or still develop for switch at their own development risks. 

As it is though, if a port does 400k at least, it's still going to be a success on the Switch, considering how easy it is to port to. 

 

Will Nintendo's new online infrastructure for Switch support something like the gamer tag I have in my sig? Its a pretty basic easy thing to do.

   

Hey! They got SONY on my amiibo! Wait a minute. Two great gaming tastes that game great together!

Switch FC: SW-0398-8858-1969

AngryLittleAlchemist said:
curl-6 said:

Nintendo's online has never, ever been on par with the competition.

Over 70 million people already own a PS4/Xbone. 

And Switch won't come close to Xbox One graphically.

It never has before,  could be now. Probably won't, bud we don't know. 

Ok. And last generation how many consoles were sold total? Oh yea....about 260 Million. Forgot. 

Resolution wise maybe. we don't know. You aren't a developer. these are rumors.  I agree it might not, but it might. 

It's not impossible that Switch will have competitive online infrastructure, but it's not impossible that a solid gold meteorite will land in your backyard tonight either. It's just extremely unlikely.



SonytendoAmiibo said:

Why is it that so many Nintendo fans, in spite of hard facts, still jump on board the hype train, expecting Nintendo to actually release a competitive current gen system that can go toe to toe with the competition. Why do Nintendo fans, after so many disappointments,  think that Nintendo will change their ways and give Nintendo fans a machine they could be proud of. A machine that could get current gen third-party games that would be equal or superior to the other systems.

Even though I knew better, I found myself caught up in the hype and made many incorrect claims as to the power of the Switch. I said it would be close to Xbox One in performance. I said the Switch would get this generations third-party games.

I own a PS4, but I don't seem to get caught up in the Sony hype train. I knew No Mans Sky was going to be mediocre at best. Many Sony fans got burned on that game. 

I guess I am a responsible Sony fan and a totally out of control Nintendo fan.

Have any of you ever got pulled into the hype, flew too close to the sun, only to have your wings melt?

 

 

I always get caught in the Nintendo hype - it's just how I'm programmed. I always have at least two of the three major consoles each gen, but I'm a Nintendo fan almost on equal footing with being a gamer in general. Their IP are very close to my heart. 



Retro Tech Select - My Youtube channel. Covers throwback consumer electronics with a focus on "vid'ya games."

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curl-6 said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:

It never has before,  could be now. Probably won't, bud we don't know. 

Ok. And last generation how many consoles were sold total? Oh yea....about 260 Million. Forgot. 

Resolution wise maybe. we don't know. You aren't a developer. these are rumors.  I agree it might not, but it might. 

It's not impossible that Switch will have competitive online infrastructure, but it's not impossible that a solid gold meteorite will land in your backyard tonight either. It's just extremely unlikely.

actually no it's not. 

I think something we all have to remember is that what we're hearing *confirmed* from developers, people who've seen the switch, and even Nintendo themselves - is that everything is built around ease of use, while also not scaling back the GAME for the sake of the gimmick. 

Developers love developing for the Switch. Nintendo themselves said newer blood in their company developed it. Even if the specs are bad, the fact is that Nintendo is probably developing it a lot like their handheld line, very cheap devices that are fun enough for them to drive prices high up. The specs for the switch are probably disappointing because Nintendo is developing it like a handheld, but everything else - the support for third parties, the love nintendo is getting from third parties, the newer blood developing the hybrid - all much more like a console. 



AngryLittleAlchemist said:
curl-6 said:

It's not impossible that Switch will have competitive online infrastructure, but it's not impossible that a solid gold meteorite will land in your backyard tonight either. It's just extremely unlikely.

actually no it's not. 

I think something we all have to remember is that what we're hearing *confirmed* from developers, people who've seen the switch, and even Nintendo themselves - is that everything is built around ease of use, while also not scaling back the GAME for the sake of the gimmick. 

Developers love developing for the Switch. Nintendo themselves said newer blood in their company developed it. Even if the specs are bad, the fact is that Nintendo is probably developing it a lot like their handheld line, very cheap devices that are fun enough for them to drive prices high up. The specs for the switch are probably disappointing because Nintendo is developing it like a handheld, but everything else - the support for third parties, the love nintendo is getting from third parties, the newer blood developing the hybrid - all much more like a console. 

Back when the Wii U was approaching launch, there was positive buzz about that too, about how easy it was to develop for and such.

I'm not saying all is lost, it could still work out well for the Switch, I'm just saying that it's probably best to keep our expectations in check to avoid disappointments.



curl-6 said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:

actually no it's not. 

I think something we all have to remember is that what we're hearing *confirmed* from developers, people who've seen the switch, and even Nintendo themselves - is that everything is built around ease of use, while also not scaling back the GAME for the sake of the gimmick. 

Developers love developing for the Switch. Nintendo themselves said newer blood in their company developed it. Even if the specs are bad, the fact is that Nintendo is probably developing it a lot like their handheld line, very cheap devices that are fun enough for them to drive prices high up. The specs for the switch are probably disappointing because Nintendo is developing it like a handheld, but everything else - the support for third parties, the love nintendo is getting from third parties, the newer blood developing the hybrid - all much more like a console. 

Back when the Wii U was approaching launch, there was positive buzz about that too, about how easy it was to develop for and such.

I'm not saying all is lost, it could still work out well for the Switch, I'm just saying that it's probably best to keep our expectations in check to avoid disappointments.

No. No one ever said it was "easy to develop for" for it's engine support or for it's OS or for it's scalability - they said it because it was a powerful system that was more powerful than the Playstation and Xbox 360. It was a lie, yes, but they weren't exactly stating a complete non truth, it WAS more powerful it just wasn't easy to develop for because so. 

I'm pretty sure that developers saying "Nintendo switch is easy to develop for because it supports all modern engines, has scalability, exclusive Nvidia technologies, and has a less taxing OS" isn't a marketing ploy by Nintendo and their supporters. None of that speaks to casual consumers like talk of "POWERFUL GRAPHIX" do. 

You aren't saying all is lost but i think you're also being a little bit ingenous. You're saying your just doing it for disappointments sake but you're complaining ENTIRELY. I've complained a lot on this forumn but there's a positive and negative balance and you're leaning so negatively that it's hard to believe you're doing it so no one is disappointed. People are already so disappointed, if anything i excpect people to be surprised come january 12th. 



You are right about one thing, I am leaning negative, but that's because I find Nintendo fans tend to lean overly positive, so I tend to play devil's advocate to that. It's a bad habit of mine.

AngryLittleAlchemist said:
curl-6 said:

Back when the Wii U was approaching launch, there was positive buzz about that too, about how easy it was to develop for and such.

I'm not saying all is lost, it could still work out well for the Switch, I'm just saying that it's probably best to keep our expectations in check to avoid disappointments.

No. No one ever said it was "easy to develop for" for it's engine support or for it's OS or for it's scalability - they said it because it was a powerful system that was more powerful than the Playstation and Xbox 360. It was a lie, yes, but they weren't exactly stating a complete non truth, it WAS more powerful it just wasn't easy to develop for because so. 

I'm pretty sure that developers saying "Nintendo switch is easy to develop for because it supports all modern engines, has scalability, exclusive Nvidia technologies, and has a less taxing OS" isn't a marketing ploy by Nintendo and their supporters. None of that speaks to casual consumers like talk of "POWERFUL GRAPHIX" do. 

You aren't saying all is lost but i think you're also being a little bit ingenous. You're saying your just doing it for disappointments sake but you're complaining ENTIRELY. I've complained a lot on this forumn but there's a positive and negative balance and you're leaning so negatively that it's hard to believe you're doing it so no one is disappointed. People are already so disappointed, if anything i excpect people to be surprised come january 12th. 

http://www.theverge.com/2012/2/1/2763225/nintendo-wii-u-easy-to-develop-for-team-ninja

http://n4g.com/news/1434301/former-resistance-and-skylanders-developer-says-nintendo-made-the-wii-u-easy-to-develop-on

http://mynintendonews.com/2012/10/19/wii-u-is-surprisingly-easy-to-develop-for/

http://wiiudaily.com/2012/07/indie-dev-wii-u-easy-develop/

http://www.gonintendo.com/s/224211-cosmos-x2-dev-praises-wii-u-finds-it-easy-to-work-with

http://www.lazygamer.net/pc-gaming/wii-u-is-easy-to-develop-for-and-can-push-1080p/

http://www.360haven.com/forums/threads/8408-The-Wii-U-is-very-easy-to-develop-for-say-Darksiders-2-developers



curl-6 said:

I think you're massively overestimating the appeal of Switch. Console type games on the go was tried with the Vita, it's not a big selling point.

Switch stands with one foot in the console red ocean and another in the mobile red ocean. It can't beat its competitors in either, so it's best shot is to try to just carve out enough of a share of the two to scrape by.

Vita didn't have console multiplats, so portability didn't matter. The appeal of portability is being able to play multiplats untethered. If the Switch becomes known for indie games and niche japanese games, its portability won't matter either. It also didn't dock to a television.

I'm not overestimating the appeal of the Switch, Curl. Respectfully, you're massively underestimating it. Your problem is that you think the Switch exists in a red ocean when, in fact, its existing in a blue ocean. No console has ever been able to do what the Switch is marketing itself as doing. That has never existed before.

The Switch is introducing laptops into a market where only desktops and smartphones have ever existed.

I cannot communicate its value more clearly than that. Switch beats PS4's and XBO's ass when it comes to convenience. Most people are not gaming enthisiasts, and those are the only people specs appeal to. Enthusiasts. In the market we're in not, owning a home console was the most convenient, accessible place to play most traditional video games. If the Switch gets multiplats, it will be that place. It's why laptops are more popular than desktops. It's why I'm using my laptop right now. Because I can't type this post on a desktop and I can't easily go wherever I want on a desktop.

I just bought a new Macbook Pro for work. Think about that. If I care about doing computing tasks well, why would I not buy a stronger desktop? Because I don't care. A laptop is good enough for what I want to do with it, and I value the flexibility of use far more than what the added power of a stationary form factor would afford me. And I'm not alone. Most people feel that way. Most people will buy a laptop over a desktop without thinking twice because that convenience is more valuable, and that's not exclusive to computers.

That dynamic has never existed before in consoles. Consoles have always been at the high end while handhelds have always been at the low end with completely different software. There has never been that laptop experience for consoles. That's the Switch's blue ocean, and that should not be underestimated.

And again, its success will depend on a lot of factors. I don't think that what the Switch offers conseptually is enough. It needs good implementation. But good implementation does not mean better hardware. It means getting multiplats so that its value proposition actually has value and having that trio of success - popularity, convenience, and accessibility.