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curl-6 on 22 December 2016
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spemanig said:
curl-6 said:

The gamers who play multiplatform games have little reason to buy them on Switch when PS4/Xbone offer the same games with better graphics, better online infrastructure, thriving userbases, and most of their friends.

Of course they do. Not being tethered to the TV. The main selling point and the reason the Switch video was viewed 22m times on Youtube.

First, graphics don't matter, especially if the Switch is cheaper. Second, we know nothing about the Switch's online infrastructure. XBO has a better online than PS4. PS4 beat out XBO. No reason Switch's can't be better than what's come before on Nintendo platforms, and its free.

Switch can get a thriving userbase too and people can play with their friends on the Switch. I never understood this logic. We literally saw people drop Xbox for Playstation this generation, but people still think that people are that brand loyal that they'd never play on another platform. We literally see people switch from userbases of 80m to userbases of 3m during genrational jumps, but people think it can't happen with the Switch.

There was a combined installed base of 160m PS360 owners last gen, save for some overlap. We haven't even reached half of that yet, meaning there are potentially 85m consumers yet to upgrade, yet it's somehow unsurmountable that Switch can make that up when we've literally seen underdogs do it before against worse numbers with the PS4.

Here's a crazy thought: What if most of their friends buy/end up buying a Switch?

I think you're massively overestimating the appeal of Switch. Console type games on the go was tried with the Vita, it's not a big selling point.

Switch stands with one foot in the console red ocean and another in the mobile red ocean. It can't beat its competitors in either, so it's best shot is to try to just carve out enough of a share of the two to scrape by.