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Forums - Nintendo - Rumor/Speculation/Conjecture - The NSwitch will outsell the WiiU the 1st year.

Louie_86 on 28 October 2016

Considering the hype, how long do you think it will take the NSwitch to outsell the WiiU?

Do you think it can achieve it during its first year?



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VGPolyglot on 28 October 2016

What hype? I thought that it was pretty normal for people to be excited for a console before its release. Anyways, if the 3DS crowd move to the Switch it could happen.



Darwinianevolution on 28 October 2016

This is more prediction rather than rumour/speculation/conjecture. Also, let's wait for January before this, we still don't know a lot.



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StarOcean on 28 October 2016

That'd be sad if true. But it's definitely a possiblity



Nautilus on 28 October 2016

Yes, believe in the Switch!

I personally believe that it will do 10 to 15 million, being it closer to 10.



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vivster on 28 October 2016

Pick up your balls and make a real prediction like a man.

I was always convinced that the Switch will sell really well in its first year and can't see it beating the Wii U anytime soon though. 10m first year would already be a big success.



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Platina on 28 October 2016

I hope so, but this is not really a rumour :p



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Mr.GameCrazy on 28 October 2016

I would say that it will probably outsell the Wii U within two years if it's successful.



Jranation on 28 October 2016

2 years



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Soundwave on 28 October 2016

This is the 3DS by year (FYE = fiscal year end)

FYE March 2011 - 3.61 million shipped
FYE March 2012 - 13.53 million shipped
FYE March 2013 - 13.95 million shipped
FYE March 2014 - 12.24 million shipped
FYE March 2015 - 8.73 million shipped
FYE March 2016 - 6.79 million shipped

Wii U is what? 14 million?

Probably tough since 3DS' peak year is below 14 million and that's with a $169.99 3DS model.

NS is almost certainly going to be $250 minimum, and it won't get cut to $169.99 overnight like the 3DS did.

I'd say 

FYE March 2017 - 2 million Nintendo Switch

FYE March 2018 - 9-10 million Nintendo Switch

Sounds more right to me based on what we know right now and giving Nintendo the benefit of the doubt in a few areas.