I have been following these games for quite some time. I decided to pick 3 random dates and compare them to this week to help show the anomoly that the Wii legs are. I pick late oct because it was heading into the holidays season, and I picked Late Jan because not all of the holiday ferver had worn off. It is crazy what I found. Some game never changed like Wario Ware, so were higher each time like TP, and some went up then down, but only a little bit.
There are many reasons this could be possible... But, I have been preaching for some time that this holiday season, with the indruction of SMG and the anticipation of SSBB that a migration of core gamers occurred. I believe I am right. Core games are trending as far as leg go better than Casual games in most cases. SSBB will only continue this trend. I could see games like TP and MP3 not falling for a long long time.
The other major reason for this anomoly is that the blue ocean stategy is working. Casuals are still buying their party games, but they are wanting something deep. Link seems to be benefitting the most from this. Many casuals not familiar with Zelda might have purchased a Zapper. Then they saw TP, a full blown game with Link in it and are now giving TP a second Life. TP is actually sell much better now than it did 1 year ago. One thing to point out however that this is NOT happening in Japan. I know their economy is bad, but I really have no explanation for this. Only Brawl and Wii titles seem to sell there. These Numbers are only for NA and Others. Where there is no others data I did it just for NA.
10/19/07 1/25/08 3/22/08
Metriod Prime 3- 11,000 15,000 14,000
Twilight Princess- 25,000 37,000 45,000
RE4: Wii- 22,000 35,000 31,000
GHIII- N/A 70,000 83,000
Zack and Wiki- N/A 4,700 4,800
Sonic SR- 14,000 17,000 16,000
Wario Ware- 7,000(NA) 6000(NA) 7,000(NA)
RRR2- N/A 28,000 28,000
Lego SW- N/A 34,000 32,000
Normal Trending (with good legs)
RE: UC- N/A 30,000 23,000(Others legs broke NA goen strong)
SPM- 25,000 20,000 13,000(put it in, as an example of "normal good legs")
All I can say is that the Wii is starting to look like the DS. You can add SMG, SSBB, WiiFit, and MK as games that will be top 100 for at least! 3 years... I know there are example of games that do trend normal on the Wii(DQ Swords) but I am not cherry picking to find this many games. I also left some out, more casual stuff like MP8, EA playground and whatever. Also FE: RD seems to be holding up well for a Hardcore SRPG. It is only selling 1k less that it was in late Jan.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut










