http://www.nintendolife.com/news/2016/07/outspoken_analyst_has_a_good_feeling_about_the_nintendo_nx
"They really lost third-party support. EA supported the launch and then stopped making games for it after a year. If you don't have third-party support the only people that end up buying a Nintendo console are fanboys, who only want to play Nintendo games. Now, flip that over. If you are not a Nintendo fanboy but you love Nintendo games, the cost of playing them is you've got to buy a second console. Because, you're already playing GTA or FIFA on your Xbox One or PS4. So, just to play Nintendo games, it's hard to justify a console. With one exception, Zelda. I totally get why people would buy an NX to play Zelda. It's a frickin' great game.
I don't know if Nintendo is telling me the truth, they're not liars. But I don't know if Nintendo is exaggerating for a fact, but they told me that the map in Breath of the Wild is 12 times the size of the map in Twilight Princess. Like I said, I don't really know what that means but it sounds like there's 12 times as much to do.
The point is, it sounds like a much, much bigger game. And, if the game is as big as they say, that's enough. You will buy a console just to play that game. Obviously they are going to have other games coming up behind it. I think that they recognised a year or two ago that the Wii U was kind of over. I think they probably diverted all of their development efforts to support the NX. Zelda is going to be essentially a launch title, it will be the biggest game out."
For Pachter, having a game of Zelda's standing as a launch title will help the NX out of the gate:
"So, I think the NX kind of quickly sells the same install base as the Wii U and, assuming the NX is not as complicated as the Wii U. Assuming that they've sold the GamePad problems, whether it's just a conventional controller or they've fixed the battery life, made it more of a tablet, and there's more to do with the NX. If they can get third-party support, I think they're going to be competitive again."
He also feels that Nintendo is launching NX at the right time:
"I frankly think that they're benefitted by the Xbox One S not being an upgrade over the Xbox [One], it's just thinner and lighter. I think they're benefitted by the PS4 Neo and the Xbox Scorpio essentially being mid-cycle, modest upgrades intended, I think, to support VR, and all fully backward compatible. Maybe the NX is coming at the right time."
To sum up, Pachter points out that there are still a lot of "ifs" to sort out, but if Nintendo can play its cards right then the NX could become a "solid, competitive console":
"It looks a lot to me like the NX is going to be essentially a PS4 in a Nintendo case. If it's that powerful, if it's easy enough architecturally for all the publishers to support, so FIFA, Call of Duty and Battlefield are on the NX, then absolutely I think this thing is going to sell really well. Let's hope Nintendo get their mojo back, let's hope they get third-party publisher support. If they do, I frankly think it is enough to carry the NX launch. If they get third-party support, it will sell 20 – 50 million units and be a solid, competitive console."
We all can agree now that The NX is doomed alright.
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