We have those that have said and keep saying that Nintendo is doomed, and, against them, those that say those people overreact and come up with those claims from things that have no base.

So I thought it would be interesting to see people pour in a thread what would be the requirements we would need to see happening to Nintendo for us to consider, realistically, that the console business for Nintendo is at an end.

Can you think of some signs, some things that should happen around and in Nintendo in order for you to accept that Nintendo is doomed? I mean, you don't have to believe that Nintendo will ever find itself in that position, but still you can make exercise of thinking about what would need to happen in order to concede that the end for Nintendo consoles is near.

This thread is not about what will happen in a theoretical scenario of Nintendo abandoning consoles, this thread is possible signals of Nintendo having to go down that route.

Discuss.

Nintendo could go on with Wii U like console failures and probably still make a profit if they adapt their strategy a bit. The reason for Nintendo hypthetically quitting the console business wouldn't be that they'd go bankrupt if they didn't, but rather that they could potentially make a lot more money if they did.

Make Virtual Boy 2.Everybody loves Virtual Boy

I guess just repeat what they did sith Wii U 1:1.

Nintendo will continue to be like "let's wait till the next console" and to the point where people finally lose patience.

Nintendo's biggest problem at the moment is declining reputation, they need the NX to be a success rather than drive more of their fans away before they get into a situation that is very difficult to recover from. If the NX is a failure the term "big 3" may soon no longer apply.

If they release another dud in a row, there's not much they can do to salvage that. Nintendo could have $500b in the bank and it won't mean shit if no one buys their product.

People are on edge with Nintendo. NX is their last chance to stay relevant as far as the Big 3 go. If they screw this up, I expect a lot of abandonment.

They stuffed it up with the Wii U console.

With the original Wii they captured the casual market and sold ten's of millions of consoles, it was one of the greatest success in gaming history. With the Wii U they un-did all of that great work.

One thing they can do is try to attract third party developers but they is going to be extremely hard with the failure of the Wii U plus there isn't going to be an established installer base.

Another thing they can try and do is to incorporate their smartphones apps with the new console somehow.

Personally, to me Nintendo is a one trick pony. Their business model basically revolves around releasing a mid strength console every four years a developing the same franchise games to gamers who bought the NES 25-30 years ago.

The only problem is that, that market has grown up and have jobs and families and probably aren't going to care to buy a new consoles just to play Zelda 8, Mario Party 13, Star Fox 5, Pokemon 10, Mario 35 etc etc.

Nintendo Wii = Sega MegaDrive/Genesis (Great sucess)

Nintendo Will U = Sega Saturn (mostly a failure)

Nintendo NX = Sega Dreamcast(Valiant last ditch attempt at gaming relevance again)

RIP Nintendo consoles

2 gens in a row without being somewhat strong on the home console market won't do them any good, obviously, no matter how much money they have on cash. I still believe that the NX will be a game-changer and re-define what a console is. Why? Because of Nintendo's statements. If not, well, we'll see.

1) to keep doing what they have been doing the last 8+/- years or longer

their annual revenues have dropped significantly for 8 straight years  - they are a shell of the company they once were

2) for their  mobile to be very succesful farily quickly-  if mobile hits big there will be ALOT of pressure from investors to invest more money in high growth business and less in the capital intensive console business