3DS is probably what slightly breaks this theory.

What I'm more interested in is how many weeks PS4K needs to outsell WiiU and NX combined.

This is like saying the NX will outsell the PS4 lifetime sales.

So you believe PS4 will start pulling 20m+ per year consecutively while NX will sell only 5m on its 2 first years combined?

I strongly disagree with your prediction. This is definitely not going to happen.

So you basically expecting that PS4 will sell from 31. march to end of year 19m and that NX will fail!?

End of 2016
PS4 ~ 56.2 million
3DS ~ 63.35 million
Wii U ~ 13.50 million
NX ~ 0

End of 2017
PS4 ~ 72.2 million
3DS: 66.35 million
Wii U: 13.70 million
NX: 7.00 million


Q1 2018
PS4: 74.2 million
3DS: 66.50 million
Wii U: 13.75 million
NX: 8.00 million


Nintendo family (88.25 million) > PlayStation 4 (74.2 million)



I hardly agree with you'r numbers, though we will see. :D ( also, really, my NX numbers predictions are SERIUSLY random guess lol)

I think there's too many factors to say what will happen. Like how well Nintendo supports the 3DS, and how well the NX does. It's impossible to predict how well it will do because we don't know the specs, games, or even the concept of it, and even if we did, predictions of consoles can be way off regardless of what we know about it. The Wii U is an example of that.

at the end of the year i´m sure ps4 sold about 50 million.
ps4 has during year much more games than xbox one and WII U.
in 2 weeks we have uncharted 4, this game probably helps to sell in one month 1 million systems worldwide.

final fantasy XV comes out on september/october.
this game will be exclusive in the asia market consoles, so im sure will be the first game helps to sell near 1 million copies in that market.

remenber dragon quest heroes was released to ps3 and ps4, but this game helped to sell 334,000 units of ps4. so... you can make an idea about what can happen with final fantasy XV.

It's getting up there in years

Dang, you remembered XD

I doubt it