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Forums - Movies & TV - The Force Awakens Box Office Thread: $1,73B

brute on 30 December 2015
Insidb said:
brute said:

 

Age of ultron increased from the original Avengers, from 88mil to around 240 I believe. The market in China is becoming huge, it's just a question if they will embrace Star Wars.

The market has evolved so rapidly that I think the performance of earlier films, even from just a few years ago, is not indicative of where it is today.

That's true, it is one of the hardest markets to predict. 





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Insidb on 30 December 2015
brute said:
thismeintiel said:

It's pretty obvious now that SW is going to take down Avatar in the US. In fact, it should already be about on par with it after this weekend. My guess is it'll end around $850M-$900M. I think it may end up a little short in the foreign box office, but the US box office may be enough to push it over Avatar.

 


I'm hoping it could do 1 billion in the domestic box office, it would need to fall off a cliff for it to only do 850 million seeing as it should be at around 750 million at the end of thi weekend. It's lead at that point will be 250 million higher than JW at the same respective number of days, and if it mimicks JW to it's daily making (money made not percentage wise example 4mil for JW and 4 mil for TFA) it will end at 900 million, but it's doubtful that it doesn't continue to outpace JW, that's why I think 1 billion is doable at this point, especially if Disney really push it and if it gets a nomination at the golden globes, possibly for best picture.

Which could also result in a sizable rerlease take.





LordLichtenstein on 31 December 2015





Are you seriously meaning to tell me it won't pass $1 billion? Come on. It is currently doing double (+/-) of what Avatar did in this period of time. And when will this stop? Not in the next few weeks. 

WEEK 3:

Avatar - $96.916,087M
Star Wars - $90-100M from Fri-Sun and Man-Thur is just topping. Star Wars should gross up towards $180-190M in its 3rd week

Star Wars Total - $820-830M after its 3rd week

WEEK 4:

Avatar - $69,926,708M
Star Wars - $60-70 from Fri-Sun and again, Man-Thur is just topping. Star Wars should gross up towards $130-140M in its 4th week

Star Wars Total - $950-970M after its 4th week.


I would genuinely be surprised, if it doesn't reach $1,2 billion at minimum.



brute on 31 December 2015

It has now passed The Avengers at the domestic box office and has passed Frozen worldwide with a total 1.29 billion. It added 28.1 million domestically and 36.7 million internationally.

It's Thursday totals will drop a lot though with College Football playoffs in the U.S and with a lot of theaters closing for New Years Eve internationally, Friday it should bounce back big domestically but Internationally a bit less as some theaters will open late in New Years day.



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LordLichtenstein on 31 December 2015
brute said:
It has now passed The Avengers at the domestic box office and has passed Frozen worldwide with a total 1.29 billion. It added 28.1 million domestically and 36.7 million internationally.

It's Thursday totals will drop a lot though with College Football playoffs in the U.S and with a lot of theaters closing for New Years Eve internationally, Friday it should bounce back big domestically but Internationally a bit less as some theaters will open late in New Years day.

 

WUP WUP! 


Thanks for the update Brute!



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brute on 31 December 2015

TFA is only 10.5 behind Avatar in the UK in local currency, yet it trails it by 26 million in USD currency, the exchange rate is what will likely keep it from passing Avatar.



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LordLichtenstein on 31 December 2015

OPDATED OP!



DakonBlackblade on 31 December 2015

With the Box office from the 31st its gona be ahead of Jurassic World for sure. Avatar is likely going ot be overtaken domestically when the weekend comes. I cant see how this movie doesnt do 1 billion on the USA right now, seriously.



haxxiy on 31 December 2015

Just did some quick calculations and the average ticket price for TFA in Brazil is about $3.49 US dollars, next to $5.19 back when Avatar released. Exchange rates were very favorable to a lot of developing economies back in 2010-2011, as much as 48% in this case. On the other hand, it means TFA should easily surpass the ~12M tickets Avatar sold back then over here.



 

 

 

 

 

brute on 31 December 2015
haxxiy said:

Just did some quick calculations and the average ticket price for TFA in Brazil is about $3.49 US dollars, next to $5.19 back when Avatar released. Exchange rates were very favorable to a lot of developing economies back in 2010-2011, as much as 48% in this case. On the other hand, it means TFA should easily surpass the ~12M tickets Avatar sold back then over here.

 


I've been saying this for a while now, the exchange rate is what will keep Star Wars from passing Avatar.



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"