Digitimes Rumor: Nintendo to ship 10-12m NX units in 2016

Mr.GameCrazy

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Mr.GameCrazy on 30 November 2015

I'm just going to take this rumor with a grain of salt.

20pdemau

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20pdemau on 30 November 2015

In still wondering why people believe xbox one will sell 13 million unit in its third year

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Wyrdness on 30 November 2015

DonFerrari said:

That would diminish the total sales of people that bought WiiU and 3DS, thats is why I think 20M isn't reachable.

I don't really get what you're trying to say here, NX is speculated to replace both those devices and the portable side of things alone will easily cross 20m unless you mean 20m in one year.

Miyamotoo

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Miyamotoo on 30 November 2015

DonFerrari said:

Miyamotoo said:

DonFerrari said:

Wyrdness said:

Considering it's rumoured to be both portable and home based or maybe a hybrid it wouldn't be farfetched as that's 2 markets to supply to.

And you think how many will buy 2 versions or how many have been doing it in the past. Because you would almost have to sum their hh and console this gen to achieve 12M on first year having probably only second half of 2016 (it won't release on january if they haven't even release propper info on it. It makes more sense to release info on e3 and release betwen june and october

Why people need to buy 2 versions, handheld and home console are quite different, how many 3DS owners have Wii U!? Definitely not many, theoreticly in best case one of five.

You realise that 3DS/Wii U combined had shipment around 15-20m in their first year!? So it not unusual that Nintendo is targeting 20m of NX devices in first year.

That is the point, if they don't need to buy both them you can't sum both their numbers.

You said best case is one of five (that would mean all 3DS owners have a WiiU, it isn't impossible, but also not likely)... But on a 50M 3DS and 10M WiiU userbase how much is their combined userbase? Something along 50 and 60M... ignoring multiple 3DS owners, I would say their combined is like 52-55M.

So if their combined was 15-20M I have very strong reasons to not believe they can make 20M on NX

Handheld and home console are totally different markets, so NX home console and handheld will aim two console markets at same time. Also NX home and handheld consoles will be heavy integrated so bigger number of people will have both devices than before.

3DS and Wii U combined had around 18m in first year, but have on mind that Wii U is worst seling Nintedendo console and Nintendo clearly planning that NX home console will be more successful, so 20m for totally new integrated platform isn't unrealistic if 3DS and WiiU had around 18m.

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zorg1000 on 30 November 2015

DonFerrari said:

Wyrdness said:

Who says people need to buy two versions? You only need one as both devices are rumoured to share a library, it's pretty much certain if it's two devices they'll use the unified platform.

As someone mentioned 3DS and Wii U shipments combined equal that easy.

That would diminish the total sales of people that bought WiiU and 3DS, thats is why I think 20M isn't reachable.

Ur assuming that it won't attract anybody other than current 3DS/Wii U owners.

When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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SubiyaCryolite on 30 November 2015

I cant wait to see what the NX actually is. That said it'd better be freaking amazing to win back mass market appeal and ship so many units in its first year. Im still skeptical in that regard.

I predict that the Wii U will sell a total of 18 million units in its lifetime.

The NX will be a 900p machine

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bananaking21 on 30 November 2015

not gonna happen.

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Miyamotoo on 30 November 2015

For all the people that are saying that is unrealistic, 3DS and Wii U combined had around 18m in first year, and NX will probably include home and handheld devices, so 20m is very realistic.

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zippy on 30 November 2015

Im actually skipping Nintendo in favour of Sony on this one. I have invested in PS4 because of its guaranteed support for a lot of years, Nintendo are too unpredictable these days and I have no confidence in NX, so therefore its a no buy for me.