DonFerrari said:
Miyamotoo said:
DonFerrari said:
Wyrdness said:
Considering it's rumoured to be both portable and home based or maybe a hybrid it wouldn't be farfetched as that's 2 markets to supply to.
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And you think how many will buy 2 versions or how many have been doing it in the past. Because you would almost have to sum their hh and console this gen to achieve 12M on first year having probably only second half of 2016 (it won't release on january if they haven't even release propper info on it. It makes more sense to release info on e3 and release betwen june and october
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Why people need to buy 2 versions, handheld and home console are quite different, how many 3DS owners have Wii U!? Definitely not many, theoreticly in best case one of five.
You realise that 3DS/Wii U combined had shipment around 15-20m in their first year!? So it not unusual that Nintendo is targeting 20m of NX devices in first year.
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That is the point, if they don't need to buy both them you can't sum both their numbers.
You said best case is one of five (that would mean all 3DS owners have a WiiU, it isn't impossible, but also not likely)... But on a 50M 3DS and 10M WiiU userbase how much is their combined userbase? Something along 50 and 60M... ignoring multiple 3DS owners, I would say their combined is like 52-55M.
So if their combined was 15-20M I have very strong reasons to not believe they can make 20M on NX
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Handheld and home console are totally different markets, so NX home console and handheld will aim two console markets at same time. Also NX home and handheld consoles will be heavy integrated so bigger number of people will have both devices than before.
3DS and Wii U combined had around 18m in first year, but have on mind that Wii U is worst seling Nintedendo console and Nintendo clearly planning that NX home console will be more successful, so 20m for totally new integrated platform isn't unrealistic if 3DS and WiiU had around 18m.
