Considering what insiders have been saying on Gaf, the three weeks PS4 have clearly won and the fact that the Nathan Drake bundle will definitely lead the monthlies once all the data is in, I'm almost certain the PS4 will win.

Week 1 (Oct. 5 - 11)

PS4 Destiny bundle: #22
PS4 LE Star Wars bundle: #23*
PS4 TLoU bundle: #25
PS4 NDC bundle: #36
XBO Halo 5 bundle: #38
PS4 LE COD bundle: #57*
New 3DS XL: #88
XBO Madden bundle: #91
XBO Gears bundle: #96

Week 2 (Oct. 12 - 18)

XBO Halo 5 bundle: #19
PS4 TLoU bundle: #26
PS4 NDC bundle: #30
PS4 LE Star Wars bundle: #40*
PS4 COD bundle: #59*
XBO Forza bundle: #89
New 3DS XL: #92

Week 3 (Oct. 19 - 25)

PS4 NDC bundle: #13
XBO Halo 5 bundle: #22
PS4 LE Star Wars bundle: #28*
PS4 COD bundle: #50*
PS4 Basic Star Wars bundle: #65
XBO Gears bundle: #67
XBO Forza bundle: #100

Week 4

PS4 NDC bundle: #13
XBO Halo 5 bundle: #25
PS4 LE Star Wars bundle: #33
PS4 COD bundle: #41
XBO Gears bundle: #49
XBO Madden bundle: #68
PS4 Basic Star Wars bundle: #81
New 3DS XL: #87
XBO 500GB MCC bundle: #98
XBO 1TB Holiday bundle: #99
XBO Forza bundle: #100

3 hours since last update:

#10 PS4 Nathan Drake Bundle (same)
#16 XB1 Kinect Bundle (down 4)
#21 PS4 Black Ops Bundle (up 1)*
#22 PS4 Star Wars Bundle (up 1)*
#25 XB1 Halo Bundle (down 1)
#43 XB1 Gears Bundle (up 2)
#52 PS4 Star Wars Standard Bundle (up 6)*
#65 XB1 Forza Bundle (down 1)
#70 XB1 Madden Bundle (up 1)
#84 XB1 Fallout Bundle (up 13)
#88 XB1 Three Game Bundle (down 10)
#89 PS4 Fool's Edition (up 4)
#93 PS4 Destiny Bundle (down 3)
#100 N3DS (down 9)

*Does not affect this month

PS4 - 5 bundles, 5 in the top 100 (plus standalone)
XB1 - 10 bundles, 7 in the top 100

The weird, not very well promoted oddball 'firesale' deals on the X1 over the past few days do seem to indicate that they were a last minute reaction to probably losing the month without doing something.

I think if they had announced a promotion with a big advertising campaign on the Halo 5 release day or so where all X1s sold got free Halo 5 and some XBLG time or something, they would have done enough to win.

As it is, I think it was probably too little too late. Their plans were probably laid out ahead of time without any end of month specials whatsoever because they thought PS4 would still be $399 until some time in November, possibly BF and on. $349 came at an odd time historically, and that seemed to really create a big bubble of sales for Sony that might just have kneecapped the best chance MS had at a substantial victory for a long time, if not the entire rest of the generation.

We have to remember that the past victories for X1 either involved massive deals ($329 with AAA pack-ins, etc), or narrow victories in pretty weak months, against $399 PS4s.

$299 X1s soon? Maybe. But I think that kind of crashes into profitability for Microsoft. As we all remember, $349 X1s lost more than they won against $399 PS4s. $299 X1s would be likely to suffer the same fate against $349 PS4s, particularly now that the 1st party deluge looks ready to strike from 2016 onwards. 3rd party now rules the console world of course, but adding that extra factor is just a tough thing to overcome. And I doubt Microsoft would be willing to do what would be necessary to gain real ground : $249 X1s vs. $349 PS4s. I think that would keep them at 1:1 or better in the USA. Other than the UK, the ROW is dead to the Xbox brand.

Abdiel from Best Buy has been saying some interesting things recently. From his experience across 50 stores within a 400 mile radious, not a single one was sold out of the halo 5 bundle. None. He seems to think Microsoft overestimated the demand for the bundle as they shipped quite a bit.

He says the game has absolutely beasted though and the ps4 price cut has helped Sony VERY well. Lots of parents came in and bought for Christmas he said trying to beat the Black Friday madness. And in most stores he checked, ps4 is leading in various capacity, some by a lot, others are close but leading regardless.

Edit: Damn just noticed this info was already posted earlier on here. Oh well lol 

Can't wait for the npd will be awesome.

Such a shame in the end it doesnt realy matter if xbox will win npd or any npd,ps4 wil stil sell more ww and that's what actually matters in hardware sales.

It seems like the destiny console is back in stock as it states "Ships from and sold by Amazon.com".

Kinect bundle out of top 20 and cod bundle rockets to #18 as the destiny bundle returns to Amazon stock as well.

If Amazon can keep that in stock with NDC, as well as Star Wars and cod bundles all month, PS4 should have a legendary November NPD.

God these months are so exciting.

It seems like npd will be great.

4 hours since last update:

#11 PS4 Nathan Drake Bundle (down 1)
#18 PS4 Black Ops Bundle (up 3)*
#21 XB1 Kinect Bundle (down 6)
#22 PS4 Star Wars Bundle (same)*
#28 XB1 Halo Bundle (down 3)
#38 XB1 Gears Bundle (up 5)
#53 PS4 Star Wars Standard Bundle (down 1)*
#69 XB1 Madden Bundle (up 1)
#71 XB1 Forza Bundle (down 5)
#74 XB1 Fallout Bundle (up 10)*
#84 PS4 Fool's Edition (up 5)
#94 N3DS (up 6)
#96 XB1 3 Games Bundle (down 8)
#97 PS4 Destiny Bundle (down 4)

*Does not affect this month

PS4 - 5 bundles, 5 in the top 100 (plus standalone)
XB1 - 10 bundles, 7 in the top 100

It's got a long way to go to catch up with the pre-orders of the Star Wars and Black Ops Bundles. The Destiny Bundle is also back in stock and back to its original price. Throw Nathan Drake in with that and I can see it climbing to number one easily. I'm just going to go ahead and give November to the PS4. I see no other outcome, regardless of what happens on Black Friday.