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Forums - Sales Discussion - August 2015 NPD Thread! PS4, XBO, Wii U estimates up!

Never will doubt amazon again lol. Most logic led me to think that Xbox One would win.



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JRPGfan said:
TheGoldenBoy said:
JRPGfan said:
September and oktober should be the PS4 wins again... so next close month would be around november?

XBox One needs to hit it out the ball park, if it wants to catch up to the ps4 when realistically its only a few months of the year it has a chance to win. It needs to have a amasing november/december, if its to regain any ground.

October has Halo 5 so that one should be interesting.


but isnt halo 5 like right at the end of the month? like the 28th or something?

Uncharted collection is out early in October. I see that month being close, with the ps4  barely edgeing it out.

 

The battle is nov & dec.

Uncharted bundle isnt doign well on Amazon while Halo bundle was in the top 10 during the week it was announced. Alos the Halo hype will push sales before it launches.



Wow, surprised to see PS4 #1. I really thought X1 would win since it had Gears and Rare replay.



    

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I have no doubt Halo will win October for the Xbox One. The real question, is will Halo win it November and December?



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Normchacho said:
I have no doubt Halo will win October for the Xbox One. The real question, is will Halo win it November and December?

I think it all depends on if the PS4 gets a pricecut. 



    

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binary solo said:
Why would PS4 win October? October is Halo month. It doesn't matter that Halo is coming on 20 October, Halo only needs a few days to give Xb one the win. All those pre-orders for the Halo bundle will come home to roost in October and Xb one sales will be huge.

Well, I'm certain the XB1 will win October with Halo but by how many? I know the Nathan Drake bundle isn't doing particularly well at the moment but Sony are currently promoting MGSV and Destiny. I think when those two deals have had time to garner enough sales, Sony will start promoting the Nathan Drake collection heavily. October is also a very good month for Sony in terms of broadening the demograohic (specifically RPG fans). They have Dragon's Quest Heroes (bundled), Disgaea 5: Alliance of Vengeance and Tales of Zestiria, none of which I would consider system sellers alone but combined, a good reason to pick a PS4 up if you're into RPGs. Then you have the Assassin's Creed: Syndicate exclusive marketing deal. Again, not a huge factor. I think all of that combined might reduce the gap quite a bit. You also have to factor in momentum from this month too, as well as how late in the month Halo releases.

October is also packed with possible gems: http://www.playstationlifestyle.net/october-2015-ps4-ps3-ps-vita-new-release-video-games/

Once Upon a Light looks interesting. And MGSV online could well spark a slight increase in the MGSV bundle (if Sony decide to release it again next month.)



 

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MoHasanie said:
Normchacho said:
I have no doubt Halo will win October for the Xbox One. The real question, is will Halo win it November and December?

I think it all depends on if the PS4 gets a pricecut. 


i think XB1 will get one as well. Novermber is really hard to predict because you dont know what deals both consoles will get on BF, which is the deciding factor in winning Nov. 



bananaking21 said:
MoHasanie said:

I think it all depends on if the PS4 gets a pricecut. 


i think XB1 will get one as well. Novermber is really hard to predict because you dont know what deals both consoles will get on BF, which is the deciding factor in winning Nov. 

True. 

I'm not so sure of an X1 price cut though. They can't drop it $50 every year. This year I think they will  rely on their exclusives to sell systems and save the price cut for next year. 



    

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jason1637 said:
JRPGfan said:


but isnt halo 5 like right at the end of the month? like the 28th or something?

Uncharted collection is out early in October. I see that month being close, with the ps4  barely edgeing it out.

 

The battle is nov & dec.

Uncharted bundle isnt doign well on Amazon while Halo bundle was in the top 10 during the week it was announced. Alos the Halo hype will push sales before it launches.

A remaster collection vs a brand new Halo...in the USA? No contest man, Halo wins every time. I don;t see the UC collection doing much more for PS4 than Gears Ultimate did got Xb one in August. According to Amazon the Halo 5 bundle is out 20 October. Given it's a digital copy you can get the hardware early and then the software becomes downloadable on the 27th. In any case a game like Halo only needs 2 or 3 days of the NPD month to have the large bulk of its effect. Heck within the first 24 hours Halo will do huge numbers.

The question will be, as Gribble says, what the winning margin will be. If Halo doesn't push Xb one to have a realy big lead over PS4 for October then that is not going to be a very good look for Xb one's prospects in the USAfor the remainder of the generation. IMO 2015 is the last year when MS can hope to reverse things and become the biggest selling console in the USA. If PS4 still has a lead come 1 January 2016 I think you can safely say PS4 will end the generation on top in the USA. At the outside, you could give Xb one until March when UC4 comes out to establish itself as the permanent number 1 console.



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Until Dawn made the top seven!! WOW!!

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