RolStoppable said:
1. Skyward Sword shouldn't be the measuring stick. That game underperformed. What Nintendo needs to aim for are games like Ocarina of Time and Twilight Princess, and they certainly have no chance at competing with these games with a Wii U-only release of the next Zelda.
2. A lot more people are going to think: "Thank god, now I don't have to buy a Wii U to play this game."
3. Sure, Zelda isn't Nintendo's biggest seller, but it's an IP that draws a lot of attention. Nintendo should know that, and if they analyze the Wii properly, then they will realize that the Wii was so successful because it had killer apps for different demographics at the same time. Having Zelda on NX isn't going to hurt Nintendo's chances for success. Quite the opposite, actually.
4. Nintendo doesn't make systems aimed at the casual market. If you want to form any reasonable conclusions, you have to abandon the hardcore vs. casual dichotomy. Your belief that the majority of Nintendo fans owns a Wii U is mindboggling. What about the over 50m people who own a 3DS? Are there only 10m Nintendo fans among them? No, it's much more likely that the majority of Nintendo fans hasn't bought a Wii U and has no intention to do so.
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1. It was the last installment. Zelda games never sold that well.
2. Bring one exclusive game to wii u and one game to NX will allow Nintendo to sell 2 system to those people = alot more profit. Your argument is like: Nintendo will bring Zelda Wii U to PC because many people woill think "Thank god, now I don't have to buy a Nintendo console to play this game." Thats not how nintendo handles things.
3. Sure, this might also be right. But still, it is still a risk. Zelda Wii U is for many people the biggest game for wii u and it was promised to them scince years. The wii u Userbase already have hardcore nintendo/zelda fans. Many big Zelda fan played Hyrule warriors which was a big fan service and also many wanted to play Windwaker HD again.
4. 3ds 50 Mio Userbase, Sales on Zelda games are between 1,7 and 3,7 Mio units. Not very impressive. The hardcore nintendo audience which likes zelda is not on the 3ds.
Even if some things would be indicative that Zelda NX would make sense (like the TP perfomace on wii, which was pretty good), there are still all the points in my first topic that would make it unlikely. Overall the "not Nx points" I mentioned are far more then the 2-3 points why it would make sense.
I will revive this thread in one year. We will see who was right.