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Forums - Nintendo - Can 3DS ship +3,000,000 this Q1? *O*

 

Can Nintendo ship +3,000,000 3DS?

Not a chance 10 41.67%
 
Possible, but very hard 9 37.50%
 
probabily 2 8.33%
 
Of course! 3 12.50%
 
Total:24

In terms of sell through

USA-732k according to NPD, let's say 800-850k for America's

Japan-621k according to Media Create

Others-probably right between Americas & Japan so around 700k.

So a little over 2 million for sell through in Q1, definitely not making 3 million shipped.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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so already did 2m.

How many weeks or months left of Q1?



For a comparation, 3DS have ship +3,200,000 in the 3DS XL released Quarter...
i don't think will happen, but we will see!



zorg1000 said:
In terms of sell through

USA-732k according to NPD, let's say 800-850k for America's

Japan-621k according to Media Create

Others-probably right between Americas & Japan so around 700k.

So a little over 2 million for sell through in Q1, definitely not making 3 million shipped.


Here's the thing, 732k for US is mostly N3ds, Lets say 600k, adding in rest of NoA it'll factor close to 700k Sold. Going by retailers, seeing many 3ds's on store shelves has to put this shipment much higher. So you can say N3DS in NoA is at least 900k (unless we think only 100k is on store shelves?).

Another notable thing to notice is the avg of March is 52k per week. So Shipment has to be actually much higher since Retailers actually have alot of stock in stores (at least from what i seen).

I really think NoA shipped alone 1mil+ when you factor in all of this.

Japan obviously wont be super high, maybe 300k-400k?

Europe N3ds shipped 150k+ Week 1, so thats easily over 300k.

2mil seems like the safe bet though, im going with 3mil because i can brag with OP.... If im wrong though, who cares :p



WhiteEaglePL said:
so already did 2m.

How many weeks or months left of Q1?


Do u not understand what a quarter is? Lol its Jan+Feb+Mar, so it's over.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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tbone51 said:
zorg1000 said:
In terms of sell through

USA-732k according to NPD, let's say 800-850k for America's

Japan-621k according to Media Create

Others-probably right between Americas & Japan so around 700k.

So a little over 2 million for sell through in Q1, definitely not making 3 million shipped.


Here's the thing, 732k for US is mostly N3ds, Lets say 600k, adding in rest of NoA it'll factor close to 700k Sold. Going by retailers, seeing many 3ds's on store shelves has to put this shipment much higher. So you can say N3DS in NoA is at least 900k (unless we think only 100k is on store shelves?).

Another notable thing to notice is the avg of March is 52k per week. So Shipment has to be actually much higher since Retailers actually have alot of stock in stores (at least from what i seen).

I really think NoA shipped alone 1mil+ when you factor in all of this.

Japan obviously wont be super high, maybe 300k-400k?

Europe N3ds shipped 150k+ Week 1, so thats easily over 300k.

2mil seems like the safe bet though, im going with 3mil because i can brag with OP.... If im wrong though, who cares :p

3 million is definitely too high, but I'm pretty sure Nintendo will have met their 9 million fiscal year goal.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

tak13 said:
Wait for me to do a research and I will tell you!As far I remember some numbers,it's possible!:P
I'll be back!:P


I did it,3DS shipments are at 7.08m as of the third fiscal quarter,nintendo has a 9m aim (down from 12m,revised because it didn't release new 3ds in 2014 in the west and the anticipation of it speeded up dramatically the decline in the west in 2014) for the full fiscal year!

That's 2.120m for the fiscal quarter 4(which is calendar quarter 1) so it will surely hit it,since New 3ds successfull perfomance!Nintendo slashed its forecast by 3m that's a lot so it seems to me like  a purposeful lowballing to surprise us  when it smashes its forecast!

Well,new 3ds was sold out everywhere in the week of launch because nintendo undershipped it,which confirms that they have a  pessimistic aim,consequently for me they might surpass quite a lot their aim  but not so much,like 3m, more likely between 2.4-2.6m!:P Anyway,3m could be possible!

However,I will go with nintendo's aim of 2.120m...Since jumping from the 600k of last year's same quarter, to 2.5m-3.0m this year's same quarter doesn't seem so feasible!:P



zorg1000 said:
WhiteEaglePL said:
so already did 2m.

How many weeks or months left of Q1?


Do u not understand what a quarter is? Lol its Jan+Feb+Mar, so it's over.


But for nintendo it's quarter 4...Fiscal quarter!:P



zorg1000 said:
tbone51 said:


Here's the thing, 732k for US is mostly N3ds, Lets say 600k, adding in rest of NoA it'll factor close to 700k Sold. Going by retailers, seeing many 3ds's on store shelves has to put this shipment much higher. So you can say N3DS in NoA is at least 900k (unless we think only 100k is on store shelves?).

Another notable thing to notice is the avg of March is 52k per week. So Shipment has to be actually much higher since Retailers actually have alot of stock in stores (at least from what i seen).

I really think NoA shipped alone 1mil+ when you factor in all of this.

Japan obviously wont be super high, maybe 300k-400k?

Europe N3ds shipped 150k+ Week 1, so thats easily over 300k.

2mil seems like the safe bet though, im going with 3mil because i can brag with OP.... If im wrong though, who cares :p

3 million is definitely too high, but I'm pretty sure Nintendo will have met their 9 million fiscal year goal.

It looks like it will be very close to 2 million for their Q4 fiscal quarter (1st Q calender yeaar)  and they should hit right at thier 9 million fiscal year goal - maybe a little higher if we are counting shipped V sold   They have the New 3DS to thank for the 3rd Q sales lag and 4th Q sales bump-  It will be interestng to see howlong the New 3DS will keep sales elevated-   I imagine they will revert to close to the mean by the end of this Q (April- June)