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Forums - Sales Discussion - Amazon US March monthly bestsellers and general amazon based discussion

tokilamockingbrd on 16 March 2015
GribbleGrunger said:
bananaking21 said:


we will have to see how NPD goes before even starting to claim that. it had a solid Feb and we will have to see how march goes. there is battlefield this month, MKX in april, Witcher in May and Batman in June. there is a steady and solid set of releases for it in the coming months. while i dont see it beating the PS4 in any, (without another price cut). i can see it doing better than last year and holding a more steady pace. 

Like I said, it's not 'doom'. Of course the XB1 is going to get spikes when there are big releases, especially when MS have the marketing rights, but even the WiiU has spikes in sales. I'm talking about the weekly averagess. If you look at this month and what the PS4 has that the XB1 doesn't, you have to ask yourself how the momentum of the PS4 will effect mindshare in April. By the time May comes along, the mindshare could be so strong for the PS4 that The Witcher may well create a spike for the XB1 but perhaps NOT the spike we would expect. Perhaps The Witcher might create a spike in favour of the PS4. Then we also have Dark Souls HD, which is likely to push interest more on the PS4 simply because it's a Souls game and Bloodborne is seen as a Souls game. IF the XB1 can't match the PS4s momentum or at least slow it down, we could see a rapid decline in weekly sales for the XB1.


add in the FFX/X-2 remasters. FF fans might see it as a reason to adopt the PS4. That is why sony wanted that released they want the FF crowd in their corner when FF XV releases.



psn- tokila

add me, the more the merrier.

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GribbleGrunger on 16 March 2015
tokilamockingbrd said:


add in the FFX/X-2 remasters. FF fans might see it as a reason to adopt the PS4. That is why sony wanted that released they want the FF crowd in their corner when FF XV releases.

Yes, there are lots of reason ... But to be honest I'm just getting this gut feeling. I've learned to trust it over the years. I think March is going to be an easy win for the PS4 but I think April could be an even bigger win simply because of the momentum these big titles coming mid to late March will create.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


tokilamockingbrd on 16 March 2015
GribbleGrunger said:
tokilamockingbrd said:


add in the FFX/X-2 remasters. FF fans might see it as a reason to adopt the PS4. That is why sony wanted that released they want the FF crowd in their corner when FF XV releases.

Yes, there are lots of reason ... But to be honest I'm just getting this gut feeling. I've learned to trust it over the years. I think March is going to be an easy win for the PS4 but I think April could be an even bigger win simply because of the momentum these big titles coming mid to late March will create.

snowball effect is the cliche you are looking for : ).

We will see I think by may Sony will have to do something by May to keep the momentum. Maybe a FFX/X2 bundle with a limited edition FF themed PS4.... that would sell like bonkers and pretty much tell FF fans now is the time to adopt. If only Sony hired me to be their marketing directer.... sigh....



psn- tokila

add me, the more the merrier.

GribbleGrunger on 16 March 2015
tokilamockingbrd said:

snowball effect is the cliche you are looking for : ).

We will see I think by may Sony will have to do something by May to keep the momentum. Maybe a FFX/X2 bundle with a limited edition FF themed PS4.... that would sell like bonkers and pretty much tell FF fans now is the time to adopt. If only Sony hired me to be their marketing directer.... sigh....

I don't think Sony WILL have to do anything much for May. I think the PS4 will increase its spike/weekly averages and the XB1 will decrease its spike/weekly average. Christmas is likely to go to the XB1 again but I think that spike/weekly average will mean it won't reduce the gap anywhere near as much as it did last year.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


tokilamockingbrd on 16 March 2015
GribbleGrunger said:
tokilamockingbrd said:

snowball effect is the cliche you are looking for : ).

We will see I think by may Sony will have to do something by May to keep the momentum. Maybe a FFX/X2 bundle with a limited edition FF themed PS4.... that would sell like bonkers and pretty much tell FF fans now is the time to adopt. If only Sony hired me to be their marketing directer.... sigh....

I don't think Sony WILL have to do anything much for May. I think the PS4 will increase its spike/weekly averages and the XB1 will decrease its spike/weekly average. Christmas is likely to go to the XB1 again but I think that spike/weekly average will mean it won't reduce the gap anywhere near as much as it did last year.

If Sony drops the price holidays will be interesting if they do not it could look like last Holiday season with the XB1 having a stronger fall lineup sans-UC4.



psn- tokila

add me, the more the merrier.

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GribbleGrunger on 16 March 2015
tokilamockingbrd said:

If Sony drops the price holidays will be interesting if they do not it could look like last Holiday season with the XB1 having a stronger fall lineup sans-UC4.

They'll only drop the price if they have to. If they can sell as many as they can produce there is absolutely no reason whatsoever to decrease the price. This isn't about just one region. In my opinion, the mistake people make is to look at a region like America and judge a failure or success based on that ONE region. As soon as they see the XB1 beating the PS4 at Christmas (in the US), they start calling for Sony to do something. Well they ARE doing something. They're selling far more consoles to far more regions.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


tokilamockingbrd on 16 March 2015
GribbleGrunger said:
tokilamockingbrd said:

If Sony drops the price holidays will be interesting if they do not it could look like last Holiday season with the XB1 having a stronger fall lineup sans-UC4.

They'll only drop the price if they have to. If they can sell as many as they can produce there is absolutely no reason whatsoever to decrease the price. This isn't about just one region. In my opinion, the mistake people make is to look at a region like America and judge a failure or success based on that ONE region. As soon as they see the XB1 beating the PS4 at Christmas (in the US), they start calling for Sony to do something. Well they ARE doing something. They're selling far more consoles to far more regions.


Yes you are right it is not just about the US. However, last christmas supply was in plenty around the world (I did hear a few places in europe had shortage the last week before CMAS, but it was not a matter of not enough supply, just supply not in the right place). This year the PS4 will be a year older and as of now it does not have a super big game coming out in the fall. I think they will definitly need to cut the price or risk losing momentum. I think they cut the price in september to coincide with the Halo launch.



psn- tokila

add me, the more the merrier.

GribbleGrunger on 16 March 2015
tokilamockingbrd said:


Yes you are right it is not just about the US. However, last christmas supply was in plenty around the world (I did hear a few places in europe had shortage the last week before CMAS, but it was not a matter of not enough supply, just supply not in the right place). This year the PS4 will be a year older and as of now it does not have a super big game coming out in the fall. I think they will definitly need to cut the price or risk losing momentum. I think they cut the price in september to coincide with the Halo launch.

I'm not saying they WON'T reduce the price, I'm saying they'll do it only if they need to. I have a feeling that momentum alone could sell the PS4 at Christmas and as much as 'some' people like to pretend Sony hasn't got any games for Christmas, they have. I think we're more likely to see something like a The Order/Bloodborne/TLOUR bundle IF things are starting to slow down.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


tiffac on 16 March 2015
GribbleGrunger said:

They'll only drop the price if they have to. If they can sell as many as they can produce there is absolutely no reason whatsoever to decrease the price. This isn't about just one region. In my opinion, the mistake people make is to look at a region like America and judge a failure or success based on that ONE region. As soon as they see the XB1 beating the PS4 at Christmas (in the US), they start calling for Sony to do something. Well they ARE doing something. They're selling far more consoles to far more regions.

All I know the success and failure of my bet falls on that region. lol!

Wait... I'm currently losing this bet... DOH!



GribbleGrunger on 16 March 2015
tiffac said:

All I know the success and failure of my bet falls on that region. lol!

Wait... I'm currently losing this bet... DOH!

What have you bet?



 

The PS5 Exists.