By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Gaming Discussion - February NPD 2015 predictions thread

 

Who will be best 8 gen sales?

3DS 57 22.18%
 
PSV 10 3.89%
 
Wii U 6 2.33%
 
PS4 170 66.15%
 
XBO 14 5.45%
 
Total:257
AEGRO said:
kitler53 said:
i think it's pretty clear that ps4 will be down 30% YoY and xbox will be up 7% YoY so xbox will have a comfortable win.

ps4: ~200K
xbox: ~275k

LOL wut? 

Amazon by being 100% accurate.

Ps4 have this month EASY.

It was a joke.



Around the Network

February's npd will have one week without new 3ds/xl existence,so I'm seeing 15-20k for that week,for the rest of the three weeks with the release of new 3ds/xl and the releases of Zelda:MM 3D and monster hunter 4(maybe there are more releases that Ι might be forgetting but these two are they main games),the fact that dsi sold 500k in the first week of release in the USA,the news that New 3ds xl is selling out,and not only the limited editions(I'm pointing this out as many you could say that limited editions are expected selling out because of the low supply),the basic New 3ds xls too!New 3ds/xl come after two years and a half from the 3ds xl version release,so a singificant time has passed since that,that's an advantage...
The exclusive games that it will get,for example xenoblade x on wii ,had a decent perfomance in the USA!

Lastly,of course the radical redesign,the many enhancements and additions it has(Better cpu,better screen,better speakers,better cameras,better internet browsing,html 5 so youtube compatability,etc) and the 3D effect that is now completely usable,it's simply the 3DS that we should have from the beginning!It's a worthy upgrade 
and 3DS has still a plenty room for further growth in the USA!

Also,there is considerable anticipation for this system,it was obvious since its announcement in Japan,since that its sales decline even more!
I m estimating,15k-20k for the 1st week without New3ds/xl,230k-250k for the 2nd week with its release,120-140k for the third week,and 90-100k for the 4th week!450k-510k...Anyway,that's just a quite a lot optimistic estimation!My prediction is 365k-400k...so 15-20k,170k-190k,110k-120k,80-90k=365k-400k+!

By the way,I expect 420-480k 3DS globally in the week of release of New 3ds,150-160k EU,as I said 170k-190k USA(20-30 rest of Na),50-60k Japan,30-40k row!



Let's see here, I'll throw a few numbers down.

3DS - 350,000
PS4 - 290,000
XBO - 225,000
Wii U - 95,000
Vita - 35,000



PS4 240
xb1 180



People expecting sub 200k for 3DS... It's probably going to sell 200k first week alone. Anyways, my predictions:

PS4: 240k
XBO: 230k
WIU: 70k
3DS: 350k
VITA: 17.5k



Predictions for LT console sales:

PS4: 120M

XB1: 70M

WiiU: 14M

3DS: 60M

Vita: 13M

Around the Network
tak13 said:

February's npd will have one week without new 3ds/xl existence,so I'm seeing 15-20k for that week,for the rest of the three weeks with the release of new 3ds/xl and the releases of Zelda:MM 3D and monster hunter 4(maybe there are more releases that Ι might be forgetting but these two are they main games),the fact that dsi sold 500k in the first week of release in the USA,the news that New 3ds xl is selling out,and not only the limited editions(I'm pointing this out as many you could say that limited editions are expected selling out because of the low supply),the basic New 3ds xls too!New 3ds/xl come after two years and a half from the 3ds xl version release,so a singificant time has passed since that,that's an advantage...
The exclusive games that it will get,for example xenoblade x on wii ,had a decent perfomance in the USA!

Lastly,of course the radical redesign,the many enhancements and additions it has(Better cpu,better screen,better speakers,better cameras,better internet browsing,html 5 so youtube compatability,etc) and the 3D effect that is now completely usable,it's simply the 3DS that we should have from the beginning!It's a worthy upgrade and 3DS has still a plenty room for further growth in the USA!

Also,there is considerable anticipation for this system,it was obvious since its announcement in Japan,since that its sales decline even more!
I m estimating,15k-20k for the 1st week without New3ds/xl,230k-250k for the 2nd week with its release,120-140k for the third week,and 90-100k for the 4th week!450k-510k...Anyway,that's just a quite a lot optimistic estimation!My expectance for new 3ds/xl  is 365k-400k...
so 15-20k,170k-190k,110k-120k,80-90k=365k-400k+!

By the way,I expect 420-480k 3DS globally in the week of release of New 3ds,150-160k EU,as I said 170k-190k USA(20-30 rest of Na),50-60k Japan,30-40k row!

LoL!I forgot the other systems!

PS4  280k-310k(it has hyped game releases,sony fans have persuaded me that they are big games,I'm very cautious,these games are completely new ips but I will trust sony fans!The yoy up that my prediction implies is something uncertain,in 2014 ps4 had the hype of the release and...So I wouldn't be surprised if it does 240k-250k)

XB1 210K-240K(it hasn't any huge game release but the low price helps it,however I could see it doing under 200k,not any big game release,no the hype of the release and the low price effect isn't what it used to be...)

WII U 85K-90K(The trending 30% yoy up)

PSVITA 25K-30K(Ps vita tv has a 50% price cut for february)

P.s It's too early mr drake tolu for predictions...I had a great win on jan npd,as I was exact by using the last month's yoy changes that I didn't used in ps4 case,as I was sure it would be quite yoy down because in 2013 it had the merit of the hype...



I can try but only without numbers (sorry):

3DS > PS4 > XB1 > WiiU > PS3 > X360 > Vita

Yes I dare predict PS3 > X360!



GribbleGrunger said:

PS4: 250k
XB1: 155k
Wiiu: 55k

Aura7541 said:

PS4: It will have better sales than in Jan thanks to The Order: 1886. 250K
XB1: Microsoft's exclusive marketing with Evolve didn't seem to do much at all. I think 150-160K will be the system's baseline. There shall be no close calls like last Feb. 155K
Wii U: Nice to see that it had a better January over last year. 60K

Handhelds, I don't even know... The new 3DS is coming out along with Majora's Mask. The Vita is just all over the place.

I swear I did not read your comment when I made my predictions



Aura7541 said:
GribbleGrunger said:

PS4: 250k
XB1: 155k
Wiiu: 55k

p>

I swear if you take notice of my predictions, you're likely to be wrong. I did say PS4 200k and XB1 150k for january though, so I wasn't that far out.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


Ppl are expecting super high numbers for Xbox one.....



 

mM